Tsja

@Tsja

#3,047,81910

0x0739af82ad271a218c5439c21ba80f0dd82d8f90

~99d· 488 markets · 3190 tradesVol: $8,751,3682026-08-02 04:14:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (94/486)0/20
0.77x (win $11,485 / loss $14,846)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0390/15
Sortino -4.9020/10
$-0.1143 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 198 (486 markets)10/10
15/76 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 985% of peak ($3,746 / $380)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
87% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,871,429$-5,447Vol: $8,286,251
🏛️ POLITICS#1,593,399$-469Vol: $217,400
CRYPTO#1,545,666$-238Vol: $203,770
🎭 CULTURE#808,771$-824Vol: $35,209
💻 TECH#11,570$26Vol: $8,521
📢 MENTIONS#138,393$-16Vol: $217

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,967
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,751,368
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
488
total markets
Trades
2211B / 979S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~99d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
94W / 392L events
Realized PnL
$-6,967
Win Rate
19%
94W / 392L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$122
Avg Loss
$-39

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,987 (0.4287752354543602% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?$1,248
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 20?$958
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$781
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 31?$694
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$644
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?$635
Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?$503
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?$499
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$445
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$442

Top Losers

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-633
Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?$-512
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?$-479
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?$-398
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?$-366
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-361
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?$-346
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-329
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-274
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-260

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.158
Sortino
-0.321
HHI
184
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.115
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
23.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.4m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — normal for humanCV 3.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.56
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)86.8%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)1.8%

Sessions

#12
12/19/2024, 3:31:34 PM1 trades$1,9980 min
6/20/2026, 3:48:17 PM86 trades$1,5921 min
2/5/2026, 8:59:59 PM20 trades$1,4242 min
6/19/2026, 8:55:56 PM2 trades$1,3580 min
6/21/2026, 4:34:40 PM36 trades$1,1390 min
1/31/2026, 2:31:24 PM2 trades$1,0941 min
6/20/2026, 6:43:08 PM178 trades$1,0915 min
12/19/2024, 7:18:28 PM9 trades$1,0504 min
1/20/2026, 3:03:18 PM3 trades$1,0314 min
12/25/2024, 10:38:42 AM2 trades$1,0231 min
6/21/2026, 7:25:07 PM94 trades$9820 min
1/19/2026, 4:27:38 PM1 trades$8870 min
7/1/2026, 10:36:47 PM15 trades$8393 min
1/20/2026, 5:13:36 PM2 trades$7763 min
6/20/2026, 5:00:49 PM21 trades$7521 min
2/5/2026, 10:29:13 PM9 trades$7410 min
6/13/2026, 9:21:04 PM4 trades$7131 min
2/24/2026, 6:08:54 PM4 trades$7012 min
6/26/2026, 9:06:34 PM35 trades$63814 min
1/20/2026, 6:53:44 PM7 trades$5666 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-19
10-30
11-14
01-20
02-04
03-02
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 559 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.56/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L86.8 / M11.4 / H1.8