@machine321
#3,063,95510x079fa02d086e38cfdd1cd177183ea4def2fd28df
~20d· 94 markets · 1028 tradesVol: $460,9072026-08-02 07:35:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
11% (10/91)0/20
0.67x (win $26,757 / loss $39,936)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7450/15
Sortino -3.5110/10
$-0.0989 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2222 (91 markets)1.4/10
3/15 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 217% of peak ($25,506 / $11,781)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
Whale
$133,209 invested
High Roller
$2,258/day
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,328$-13,721Vol: $310,373
⚽ SPORTS#1,803,387$-593Vol: $42,052
📢 MENTIONS#175,821$-2,100Vol: $15,877
📈 ECONOMICS#636,555$-30Vol: $3,787
🎭 CULTURE#709,686$-15Vol: $1,144
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-21,828
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$460,907
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
94
total markets
Trades
156B / 872S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d
Periods
#2Today
$199
Vol: $0
Week
$-245
Vol: $0
Month
$-115
Vol: $0
All Time
$-21,828
Vol: $460,907
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
11%
10W / 81L events
Realized PnL
$-21,828
Win Rate
11%
10W / 81L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$2,676
Avg Loss
$-1,024
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,893 (1.0487865216307743% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$13,421
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$6,982
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$2,491
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$977
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$976
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$738
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$670
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$197
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$158
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$148
Top Losers
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$-7,897
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-6,741
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$-5,695
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-3,880
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$-2,655
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-2,249
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-2,168
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?$-1,939
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$-1,065
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$-900
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.139
Sortino
-0.176
HHI
3285
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.102
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
56%
Top-5 markets
77.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
17.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
51s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 51s — normal for humanCV 4.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity17 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.11
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)58.3%
Mid (20-55c)12.8%
High (>55c)28.8%
Sessions
#125/15/2026, 10:53:13 AM83 trades$64,4152 min
5/20/2026, 1:47:43 PM33 trades$58,0550 min
6/4/2026, 11:16:22 AM35 trades$31,7931 min
6/16/2026, 8:52:28 PM37 trades$23,4261 min
6/17/2026, 4:32:19 PM46 trades$23,3060 min
5/7/2026, 6:39:07 AM34 trades$15,0960 min
5/19/2026, 12:50:48 PM12 trades$13,5250 min
5/14/2026, 2:48:55 AM50 trades$10,6057 min
6/15/2026, 5:48:42 AM42 trades$9,4060 min
6/26/2026, 5:41:11 PM17 trades$9,2060 min
5/14/2026, 3:06:59 AM2 trades$7,3020 min
5/26/2026, 6:28:52 AM19 trades$6,6740 min
5/14/2026, 10:51:33 AM12 trades$6,1061 min
6/19/2026, 7:28:28 PM38 trades$5,7551 min
6/11/2026, 7:40:49 PM57 trades$5,6901 min
6/19/2026, 5:50:29 PM8 trades$5,5560 min
5/14/2026, 8:08:02 AM51 trades$4,9962 min
6/15/2026, 1:52:34 AM31 trades$4,9610 min
6/19/2026, 2:28:34 PM15 trades$3,0690 min
6/17/2026, 8:57:13 PM6 trades$3,0462 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-14
05-26
06-14
06-16
06-18
06-20
06-24
07-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 24 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
84.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.11/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.3 / M12.8 / H28.8