@Spon

#1,45718

0x07e78f5f58f8fa839f298cfe3fefd258883aa343

~277d· 342 markets · 646540 tradesVol: $243,506,7852026-08-02 07:38:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (131/331)4.8/20
0.50x (win $5,164 / loss $10,254)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3050/15
Sortino -1.3430/10
$-0.2377 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 322 (331 markets)10/10
78/174 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 274% of peak ($8,019 / $2,926)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+136,369
Lottery Player
99% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
1% sells
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#769$108,826Vol: $209,855,158
💰 FINANCE#1,037$5,184Vol: $6,114,202
🎭 CULTURE#7,103$592Vol: $468,442
📈 ECONOMICS#2,086$1,844Vol: $287,392
💻 TECH#6,659$82Vol: $58,286
🌤️ WEATHER#12,122$36Vol: $28,965

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$136,369
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$243,506,785
Total Redeem
$12,219
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
342
total markets
Trades
7922B / 4890S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~277d

Periods

#2
Today
$601
Vol: $133,520
Week
$534
Vol: $133,520
Month
$601
Vol: $133,520
All Time
$136,369
Vol: $243,506,785

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
715W / 163L events
Realized PnL
$136,369
Win Rate
81%
715W / 163L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-53

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,092 (0.015338735386813716% of PnL)

Top Winners

Manchester City wins the Premier League?$803
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?$689
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?$600
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?$444
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?$419
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$409
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$230
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?$203
Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?$106
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$86

Top Losers

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$-5,085
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?$-1,780
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?$-718
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$-572
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-355
Will Samuel Doria Medina qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?$-335
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?$-235
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-129
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$-123
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?$-101

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.068
Sortino
-0.053
HHI
491
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.239
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.5%
Top-5 markets
36.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1280.3
Very active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.1m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
17.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 298s — normal for humanCV 17.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1280 trades/day — automation0.7 markets/day — normal2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
37.49
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)98.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)1.2%

Sessions

#12
3/15/2026, 7:58:23 PM1 trades$3,5360 min
12/18/2025, 2:52:07 PM1 trades$1,4760 min
10/15/2025, 7:14:13 PM2 trades$1,0840 min
1/19/2026, 2:45:38 AM1 trades$1,0300 min
10/6/2025, 8:22:50 PM1 trades$9920 min
1/3/2025, 6:36:51 AM36 trades$78143 min
7/28/2025, 6:36:29 AM1 trades$7370 min
3/8/2025, 10:56:11 AM12 trades$6763 min
2/15/2025, 2:09:05 AM13 trades$6200 min
4/4/2025, 5:03:38 AM2 trades$5961 min
1/15/2026, 7:36:36 PM1 trades$5720 min
2/12/2025, 5:58:27 AM7 trades$52511 min
2/12/2025, 5:04:42 AM3 trades$4275 min
1/2/2025, 10:45:12 AM37 trades$40955 min
1/4/2025, 5:53:17 AM2 trades$4010 min
12/17/2025, 7:15:39 AM1 trades$3940 min
5/26/2025, 9:45:17 PM1 trades$3820 min
10/6/2025, 5:07:46 PM1 trades$3460 min
2/18/2025, 3:51:27 PM2 trades$3441 min
8/17/2025, 2:43:12 PM1 trades$3350 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-16
01-29
03-09
04-17
06-17
10-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 265 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 37.49/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L98.8 / M0 / H1.2