@CarolRoland

#111,11182

0x087489564ceed774d55a2aeab35e9b1179b8d847

~31d· 57 markets · 131 tradesVol: $286,3782026-08-02 04:12:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (25/44)13.4/20
6.30x (win $790 / loss $125)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.58715/15
Sortino 43.80410/10
$+0.0031 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 660 (44 markets)9.2/10
17/25 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($50 / $665)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+546
Whale
$213,287 invested
Consistent
17/25 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#27,267$496Vol: $127,896
SPORTS#1,543,409$-35Vol: $92,759
📈 ECONOMICS#554,675$-4Vol: $37,357
CRYPTO#97,987$97Vol: $17,322
💰 FINANCE#548,874$-6Vol: $11,011
🎭 CULTURE#476,275$-0Vol: $27

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$546
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$286,378
Total Redeem
$5,594
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
70B / 61S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$546
Vol: $286,378

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
25W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$546
Win Rate
57%
25W / 19L
Profit Factor
6.3x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $365 (0.6681634897360704% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$144
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$116
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$105
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$98
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$56
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$34
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?$33
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$33

Top Losers

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$-50
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$-10
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-6
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?$-6
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-6
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.440
Sortino
1.512
HHI
281
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
31.6%
Half-Kelly
15.8%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
29.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 0.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)10%
High (>55c)88.6%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 8:56:31 AM19 trades$46,9707 min
5/26/2026, 10:41:18 AM16 trades$40,5424 min
2/14/2026, 7:50:15 AM10 trades$39,0175 min
2/13/2026, 8:49:35 AM12 trades$38,6964 min
6/26/2026, 3:49:10 PM17 trades$35,2152 min
2/11/2026, 8:00:43 AM11 trades$33,7887 min
2/5/2026, 1:10:59 PM7 trades$28,0807 min
4/27/2026, 2:55:10 PM2 trades$5,6000 min
3/23/2026, 9:38:51 AM1 trades$5,5880 min
3/18/2026, 6:22:51 AM1 trades$5,5630 min
1/26/2026, 12:29:13 PM1 trades$7000 min
12/18/2025, 2:38:03 PM1 trades$6230 min
12/6/2025, 3:18:01 PM1 trades$6210 min
12/20/2025, 7:42:46 AM1 trades$6020 min
12/27/2025, 3:46:51 AM1 trades$5950 min
4/18/2025, 2:36:26 PM4 trades$5211 min
8/6/2025, 8:19:58 AM4 trades$5181 min
7/12/2025, 8:21:24 PM3 trades$3372 min
11/14/2024, 10:56:43 PM3 trades$3052 min
6/23/2025, 2:23:01 PM2 trades$2400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-17
12-19
06-23
12-19
02-11
03-23
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.4 / M10 / H88.6