@froguser

#23,87080

0x08945ab0434cc8574c5b1588ebe5ef061f34d819

~206d· 264 markets · 1963 tradesVol: $435,8062026-08-02 06:27:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (170/221)20/20
1.53x (win $17,005 / loss $11,102)9.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.50115/15
Sortino 2.92010/10
$+0.0267 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 139 (221 markets)10/10
88/116 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 45% of peak ($4,435 / $9,865)5/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 77%
Profitable
PnL $+5,375
DCA Master
Avg 7.0 entries/market
Whale
$221,015 invested
Consistent
88/116 profitable days
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

8
CRYPTO#18,569$2,282Vol: $234,941
🏛️ POLITICS#9,021$2,951Vol: $107,546
SPORTS#1,812,549$-727Vol: $24,911
🎭 CULTURE#796,585$-234Vol: $20,069
📢 MENTIONS#4,448$167Vol: $17,885
📈 ECONOMICS#5,812$358Vol: $13,130
💰 FINANCE#14,142$157Vol: $10,082
💻 TECH#9,466$40Vol: $815

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,357
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$435,806
Total Redeem
$263
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
264
total markets
Trades
1422B / 541S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~206d

Periods

#2
Today
$-39
Vol: $0
Week
$1,211
Vol: $0
Month
$152
Vol: $0
All Time
$5,357
Vol: $435,806

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
170W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$5,375
Win Rate
77%
170W / 51L
Profit Factor
1.53x
Avg Win
$100
Avg Loss
$-227

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,140 (1.1421823783071834% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3,035
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2,127
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$978
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$934
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$690
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$461
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$427
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?$390
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?$295
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$292

Top Losers

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-3,046
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 5.5 Corners$-1,485
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-960
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?$-645
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$-433
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$-338
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$-297
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-263
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-220
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?$-216

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.078
Sortino
0.083
HHI
103
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
14%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 500s — normal for humanCV 2.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal85% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.97
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.4%
Mid (20-55c)19.8%
High (>55c)62.7%

Sessions

#12
8/15/2025, 1:46:48 PM3 trades$5,8075 min
8/9/2025, 10:23:09 PM5 trades$5,7982 min
8/5/2025, 11:13:38 PM1 trades$5,7670 min
7/28/2025, 9:41:35 PM1 trades$5,6460 min
7/27/2025, 12:50:59 PM1 trades$5,6090 min
7/22/2025, 12:02:54 PM2 trades$5,6031 min
4/28/2026, 12:52:24 PM30 trades$5,56431 min
10/30/2025, 11:54:19 AM1 trades$5,2460 min
10/30/2025, 8:25:13 AM5 trades$5,1585 min
10/10/2025, 9:06:36 PM11 trades$5,13316 min
7/20/2025, 1:41:31 PM1 trades$4,9540 min
10/1/2025, 11:16:57 AM5 trades$4,1524 min
4/28/2026, 1:43:14 PM41 trades$3,72338 min
10/10/2025, 10:21:02 PM13 trades$3,1686 min
6/14/2026, 5:10:21 PM10 trades$3,0880 min
8/11/2025, 11:51:18 AM2 trades$3,0683 min
10/23/2025, 1:50:43 PM1 trades$3,0060 min
6/14/2026, 9:47:01 PM10 trades$2,4863 min
9/4/2025, 9:48:32 PM2 trades$2,4581 min
9/2/2025, 9:10:44 PM1 trades$2,4530 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-28
08-18
10-18
11-22
01-12
06-05
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.4 / M19.8 / H62.7