@Folletin

#2,26389

0x08c897e4780c299061fe683120e5bb18cf931da2

~577d· 689 markets · 5665 tradesVol: $2,346,5082026-08-02 06:25:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (461/648)20/20
1.70x (win $219,111 / loss $128,716)11.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.91415/15
Sortino 4.10110/10
$+0.0616 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 78 (648 markets)10/10
228/330 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($17,025 / $90,396)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+83,654
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Whale
$1,466,583 invested
Consistent
228/330 profitable days
High Roller
$1,982/day
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$83,663
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,346,508
Total Redeem
$16,280
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
689
total markets
Trades
4525B / 1140S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~577d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
461W / 187L events
Realized PnL
$83,654
Win Rate
71%
461W / 187L
Profit Factor
1.7x
Avg Win
$475
Avg Loss
$-696

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23,272 (0.27819818781649797% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$9,405
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7,138
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$6,729
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$5,649
Epstein client list released by June 30?$4,755
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$4,254
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?$4,107
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$3,551
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$3,304
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$3,238

Top Losers

US military action against Iran by Monday?$-13,773
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?$-7,965
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?$-7,850
Will Biden pardon Fauci?$-6,777
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?$-6,693
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?$-4,418
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?$-4,145
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-4,040
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?$-3,929
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$-3,873

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.152
Sortino
0.133
HHI
69
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.064
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
11.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 896s — normal for humanCV 2.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.79
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.4%
Mid (20-55c)13.8%
High (>55c)75.8%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 7:25:40 PM21 trades$39,8543 min
6/11/2026, 11:05:18 AM37 trades$19,3803 min
4/9/2026, 10:52:13 AM29 trades$15,1601 min
6/21/2025, 3:47:34 AM1 trades$13,7730 min
1/16/2025, 5:06:09 AM8 trades$13,1432 min
6/25/2026, 10:54:53 PM3 trades$12,8000 min
9/2/2025, 11:30:36 AM2 trades$11,9271 min
1/20/2025, 4:36:37 PM7 trades$11,63712 min
4/30/2026, 9:39:58 AM2 trades$11,4761 min
11/6/2024, 7:00:59 AM6 trades$11,4024 min
4/8/2026, 7:53:11 AM2 trades$11,2780 min
1/13/2025, 9:36:05 AM4 trades$11,0742 min
1/16/2025, 1:12:55 AM7 trades$11,0215 min
9/1/2025, 7:35:32 PM1 trades$10,8050 min
3/17/2026, 9:54:17 AM7 trades$10,6593 min
1/24/2026, 11:56:38 AM5 trades$10,4368 min
11/12/2024, 8:54:01 AM2 trades$9,2801 min
1/17/2025, 6:46:52 PM5 trades$8,9293 min
7/7/2025, 3:56:41 AM9 trades$8,5279 min
4/25/2025, 5:26:24 PM1 trades$8,0920 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-25
11-09
02-17
06-17
09-27
02-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.4 / M13.8 / H75.8