aspenmcfarlan

@aspenmcfarlan

#2,481,1514

0x093fc64b1709860828afbce29de0baac8d36c6d3

~31d· 39 markets · 111 tradesVol: $17,8642026-08-02 05:23:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (4/25)0/20
0.59x (win $167 / loss $284)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9470/15
Sortino -2.5720/10
$-0.0095 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1607 (25 markets)4.5/10
4/25 profitable days (16%)0/10
Max DD 479% of peak ($148 / $31)0/10

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,640,870$-74Vol: $9,840
🏛️ POLITICS#1,181,748$-6Vol: $8,021
CRYPTO#674,653$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-80
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,864
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
57B / 54S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-80
Vol: $17,864

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
4W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-80
Win Rate
16%
4W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $167 (2.080209241499564% of PnL)

Top Winners

Chargers vs. Texans$151
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 3$11
Pirates vs. Brewers$5
Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?$0

Top Losers

Vikings vs. Rams$-136
Notre Dame vs. Penn State$-104
WNBA: Sun vs. Lynx Game 4$-27
Marlins vs. Brewers$-12
Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-1
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-1
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-1
Will Adrian Zandberg be the next President of Poland?$-1
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$-1
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.100
Sortino
-0.123
HHI
3
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.252
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
3.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7870s — normal for humanCV 1.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.64
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.8%
Mid (20-55c)14%
High (>55c)77.2%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2026, 3:47:27 PM12 trades$1,7575 min
7/22/2026, 11:11:27 PM13 trades$1,7083 min
7/24/2026, 3:32:43 PM7 trades$1,7074 min
7/23/2026, 5:19:10 AM12 trades$1,7023 min
7/23/2026, 12:42:07 PM12 trades$1,7027 min
7/24/2026, 1:18:22 PM4 trades$1,6803 min
7/22/2026, 7:33:07 PM8 trades$9072 min
7/27/2026, 7:57:06 PM2 trades$8260 min
1/13/2025, 4:29:35 AM1 trades$1360 min
1/10/2025, 8:50:51 AM1 trades$1050 min
1/9/2025, 12:00:05 AM1 trades$1040 min
10/6/2024, 1:37:27 PM1 trades$270 min
10/4/2024, 7:52:55 AM1 trades$160 min
7/25/2025, 10:15:14 AM1 trades$120 min
5/13/2025, 6:35:26 AM1 trades$50 min
5/13/2025, 9:31:52 AM1 trades$50 min
6/25/2025, 11:33:35 AM1 trades$50 min
4/16/2025, 7:55:28 AM1 trades$50 min
4/16/2025, 12:25:01 PM1 trades$50 min
5/5/2025, 7:04:40 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-04
01-10
04-03
04-23
05-05
05-14
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 196 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.8 / M14 / H77.2