mejorduck

@mejorduck

#470,14876

0x0951962f26228efbb3e035c24c869c4bd5ab14c7

~99d· 65 markets · 352 tradesVol: $62,165 @Tao_02072026-08-02 06:53:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (44/63)19.9/20
1.59x (win $875 / loss $549)9.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.36915/15
Sortino 3.97110/10
$+0.0126 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 504 (63 markets)10/10
39/56 profitable days (70%)9.9/10
Max DD 65% of peak ($217 / $332)0.9/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+12
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Consistent
39/56 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

5
CRYPTO#110,133$72Vol: $30,721
SPORTS#1,702,472$-127Vol: $15,327
💰 FINANCE#30,111$37Vol: $11,037
🏛️ POLITICS#118,522$27Vol: $3,180
📈 ECONOMICS#69,294$3Vol: $1,900

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$62,165
Total Redeem
$358
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
270B / 82S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~99d

Periods

#2
Week
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$12
Vol: $62,165

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
44W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$12
Win Rate
70%
44W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.59x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $358 (29.034874290348743% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?$245
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$59
Raptors vs. Bulls$54
Pelicans vs. Pistons$53
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets$48
Suns vs. Bulls$41
Pelicans vs. Jazz$37
Suns vs. Celtics$29
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?$28
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets$26

Top Losers

Nets vs. Pistons$-134
Suns vs. Hawks$-113
Hawks vs. Rockets$-62
Pistons vs. Raptors$-61
Raptors vs. Lakers$-50
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers$-41
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?$-27
Thunder vs. Grizzlies$-19
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$-15
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.123
Sortino
0.143
HHI
470
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.2%
Top-5 markets
37%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1570s — normal for humanCV 1.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.24
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.5%
Mid (20-55c)4.8%
High (>55c)86.7%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 10:57:03 AM2 trades$3,8660 min
6/16/2026, 4:18:27 AM2 trades$7130 min
7/30/2026, 4:33:02 PM1 trades$6990 min
7/10/2026, 1:40:34 PM1 trades$6990 min
7/9/2026, 12:19:17 AM1 trades$6970 min
7/26/2026, 2:14:06 AM1 trades$6960 min
7/22/2026, 3:35:48 PM1 trades$6930 min
6/30/2026, 11:14:37 PM1 trades$6390 min
7/2/2026, 1:29:19 PM2 trades$6301 min
6/29/2026, 5:20:25 PM1 trades$6290 min
6/24/2026, 8:27:44 AM1 trades$6270 min
6/28/2026, 3:45:19 PM1 trades$6270 min
6/22/2026, 8:06:19 AM1 trades$6260 min
6/24/2026, 1:46:17 PM1 trades$6260 min
7/2/2026, 1:07:31 PM1 trades$6230 min
7/2/2026, 11:56:05 AM1 trades$6020 min
6/5/2026, 4:26:52 PM1 trades$6000 min
6/6/2026, 12:53:03 AM1 trades$5930 min
6/6/2026, 10:14:40 PM1 trades$5820 min
6/7/2026, 10:48:48 AM1 trades$5800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-17
01-10
02-12
03-16
05-15
06-16
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.5 / M4.8 / H86.7