@Contrarian - 7451
#3,070,977400x095dcfb123a4bc035ee6b0d624bab0cc964352cf
~231d· 679 markets · 55493 tradesVol: $17,630,6572026-08-02 04:11:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
87% (552/631)20/20
0.43x (win $333,084 / loss $777,549)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0320/15
Sortino -2.0760/10
$-0.0323 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 247 (631 markets)10/10
111/147 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 601% of peak ($599,305 / $99,722)0/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 87%
Diamond Hands
6% sells
DCA Master
Avg 74.0 entries/market
Whale
$13,766,694 invested
Consistent
111/147 profitable days
High Roller
$56,191/day
Win Streak
49 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,094$-434,647Vol: $14,224,538
📈 ECONOMICS#382$18,983Vol: $1,833,938
🎭 CULTURE#1,531$5,049Vol: $1,033,333
💰 FINANCE#4,173$1,009Vol: $221,948
₿ CRYPTO#31,051$972Vol: $185,377
💻 TECH#1,384$1,014Vol: $61,541
⚽ SPORTS#12,320$3,625Vol: $47,183
📢 MENTIONS#7,681$68Vol: $10,166
🌤️ WEATHER#13,258$30Vol: $9,179
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-397,370
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,630,657
Total Redeem
$1,510,751
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
679
total markets
Trades
51902B / 3591S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~231d
Periods
#2Today
$853
Vol: $0
Week
$3,042
Vol: $0
Month
$629
Vol: $0
All Time
$-397,370
Vol: $17,630,657
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
87%
552W / 79L events
Realized PnL
$-397,370
Win Rate
87%
552W / 79L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$603
Avg Loss
$-9,969
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $83,181 (0.2093299684057377% of PnL)
Top Winners
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$39,954
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$23,199
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20,028
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$15,923
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$13,118
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$11,943
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$8,376
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$7,637
Netanyahu out by March 31?$7,629
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$7,435
Top Losers
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-210,474
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-134,200
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-84,235
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-82,366
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-74,542
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-45,132
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-30,225
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-26,083
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$-17,409
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$-17,213
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.106
Sortino
-0.057
HHI
187
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
22.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
226.5
Very active
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.1m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
13.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
92 min
Avg Trades / Session
148.3
Bot Detection
#665
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 13.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock227 trades/day — automation2.8 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
74.03
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)3.6%
High (>55c)95.9%
Sessions
#122/1/2026, 1:30:58 PM22 trades$500,67526 min
4/7/2026, 9:35:05 AM14 trades$500,48814 min
1/26/2026, 7:11:11 PM1314 trades$436,331603 min
2/2/2026, 12:21:40 AM97 trades$277,71370 min
2/1/2026, 2:39:48 PM15 trades$250,15615 min
4/1/2026, 8:55:35 AM2 trades$250,0000 min
2/5/2026, 2:02:09 PM574 trades$236,995367 min
6/25/2026, 4:11:25 PM27 trades$231,1715 min
1/1/2026, 12:52:19 PM161 trades$213,609118 min
3/4/2026, 2:22:53 PM255 trades$212,271170 min
2/3/2026, 11:52:48 PM89 trades$212,27048 min
2/1/2026, 6:40:46 PM95 trades$182,81175 min
2/5/2026, 10:49:15 AM324 trades$163,971187 min
1/21/2026, 8:49:16 PM186 trades$155,010151 min
1/24/2026, 8:29:44 PM428 trades$152,765289 min
3/5/2026, 11:45:09 AM29 trades$152,10733 min
2/13/2026, 12:50:35 PM64 trades$150,34371 min
2/12/2026, 11:13:23 AM2 trades$149,4073 min
3/2/2026, 10:10:05 AM9 trades$125,41716 min
1/21/2026, 7:09:42 PM187 trades$116,70391 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-29
01-01
01-30
02-26
04-07
05-25
07-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 124 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 74.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.5 / M3.6 / H95.9