@scxyy

#2,921,21911

0x099ce0b1f34570151fd30fc342d92e253db73685

~71d· 85 markets · 339 tradesVol: $38,2922026-08-02 06:33:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (23/74)0.5/20
0.47x (win $952 / loss $2,018)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.6660/15
Sortino -7.1730/10
$-0.2254 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 520 (74 markets)9.9/10
13/38 profitable days (34%)1.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,184 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#642,188$-223Vol: $23,776
💻 TECH#249,506$-118Vol: $5,541
📈 ECONOMICS#665,216$-159Vol: $4,173
CRYPTO#1,489,433$-119Vol: $3,458
🏛️ POLITICS#1,586,579$-375Vol: $1,343

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-993
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,292
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
85
total markets
Trades
169B / 170S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~71d

Periods

#2
Today
$-51
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-103
Vol: $0
All Time
$-993
Vol: $38,292

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
23W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$-993
Win Rate
31%
23W / 51L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $429 (0.4315056080223918% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$177
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$141
Will Amazon reach $260 in November?$111
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$98
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$71
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$54
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$45
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$44
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$30

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$-200
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$-115
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$-102
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$-100
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?$-100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-100
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$-98
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$-96
OpenAI browser by October 31?$-81
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$-80

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.344
Sortino
-0.430
HHI
141
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.319
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
17.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 372s — normal for humanCV 1.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.51
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.6%
Mid (20-55c)42.6%
High (>55c)17.8%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 1:01:05 PM42 trades$2,2021 min
7/8/2026, 12:35:08 AM11 trades$2,0334 min
7/7/2026, 3:04:59 PM2 trades$1,2500 min
6/12/2026, 2:27:54 PM19 trades$1,0950 min
6/16/2026, 12:18:52 PM13 trades$9260 min
4/1/2026, 1:44:21 AM13 trades$8760 min
6/23/2026, 1:10:38 PM7 trades$8130 min
12/5/2025, 2:38:09 AM18 trades$6965 min
6/9/2026, 2:49:16 AM12 trades$6121 min
4/9/2026, 12:56:33 PM5 trades$5301 min
4/10/2026, 2:36:41 AM7 trades$2990 min
11/5/2025, 1:26:59 AM1 trades$2330 min
6/12/2026, 2:21:16 PM15 trades$2061 min
2/27/2026, 11:23:13 AM1 trades$2000 min
4/10/2026, 12:48:07 PM5 trades$2000 min
3/14/2026, 2:57:59 AM1 trades$1980 min
6/9/2026, 7:33:03 AM5 trades$1550 min
6/25/2026, 2:35:11 AM4 trades$1530 min
9/18/2025, 3:19:06 AM5 trades$1361 min
8/26/2025, 2:48:39 AM1 trades$1320 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-03
08-12
09-18
11-11
02-28
04-01
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.51/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.6 / M42.6 / H17.8