@catalystalpha1913

#1,988,55343

0x0a136b681eb6194b90a0043fbdef4db3b82b7482

~18d· 57 markets · 383 tradesVol: $33,1062026-08-02 05:21:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (7/22)0.9/20
1.43x (win $8 / loss $6)7.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.81415/15
Sortino 4.11310/10
$+0.0001 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1344 (22 markets)5.8/10
5/11 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 233% of peak ($6 / $2)0/10

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,229,391$-8Vol: $17,276
SPORTS#1,196,837$-5Vol: $9,388
📈 ECONOMICS#492,259$-1Vol: $2,430
🎭 CULTURE#530,697$-1Vol: $2,001
💰 FINANCE#453,471$-1Vol: $1,769
CRYPTO#734,300$-0Vol: $114
💻 TECH#148,350$-0Vol: $75

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,106
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
187B / 196S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-16
Vol: $33,106

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
7W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-16
Win Rate
32%
7W / 15L
Profit Factor
1.43x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8 (0.48234552332913% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7
Will Paul Reevs be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$0
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$0
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$0
Another Canada election called by June 30?$0

Top Losers

Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?$-1
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-1
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-1
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-0
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-0
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$-0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.090
Sortino
0.198
HHI
106
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
19.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.3m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 534s — normal for humanCV 2.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)76.5%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 11:50:56 PM2 trades$1,2620 min
6/25/2026, 12:29:23 AM2 trades$1,2360 min
6/24/2026, 11:01:52 PM2 trades$1,2300 min
6/24/2026, 11:19:23 PM13 trades$1,2300 min
6/24/2026, 11:27:55 PM2 trades$1,2300 min
6/23/2026, 6:14:37 AM6 trades$1,2260 min
6/25/2026, 12:04:59 AM2 trades$1,2210 min
6/23/2026, 5:48:34 AM2 trades$1,2130 min
6/24/2026, 4:47:22 AM2 trades$1,1830 min
6/24/2026, 6:04:31 AM2 trades$1,1720 min
6/24/2026, 5:28:47 AM2 trades$1,1500 min
6/23/2026, 5:15:17 AM2 trades$1,1210 min
6/23/2026, 5:39:58 AM2 trades$1,1210 min
4/14/2026, 1:34:51 PM4 trades$9090 min
6/24/2026, 5:19:47 AM2 trades$8300 min
4/15/2026, 7:59:00 AM3 trades$7680 min
4/14/2026, 2:07:21 PM4 trades$7600 min
4/15/2026, 7:30:34 AM2 trades$7390 min
4/16/2026, 2:44:08 AM2 trades$7330 min
4/15/2026, 8:34:32 AM7 trades$7300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-04
04-09
04-14
04-15
04-16
06-23
06-24
06-25
07-16
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.5 / M0 / H76.5