@0x0a38dcf3740ee299a0607e80cb955c42a34cf931
110x0a38dcf3740ee299a0607e80cb955c42a34cf931
~162d· 160 markets · 2142 trades2026-08-02 07:03:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (52/137)4/20
0.29x (win $1,288 / loss $4,386)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7560/15
Sortino -2.7510/10
$-0.0881 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1380 (137 markets)5.6/10
27/72 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 9047% of peak ($3,132 / $35)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
68% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-10,867
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,160
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
160
total markets
Trades
1395B / 747S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~162d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
52W / 85L events
Realized PnL
$-10,867
Win Rate
38%
52W / 85L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-54
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $444 (0.040845530550174626% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$269
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$90
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$84
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$82
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$78
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$52
Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April? $52
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during call with Service Members on November 27?$46
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?$43
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$34
Top Losers
ECB rate hike in 2026?$-2,295
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$-290
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$-194
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$-100
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?$-100
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$-100
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in October?$-80
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by July 31, 2026?$-67
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?$-62
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$-61
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.143
Sortino
-0.114
HHI
37
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.389
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
10.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 104s — normal for humanCV 3.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.51
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)67.9%
Mid (20-55c)15.2%
High (>55c)16.9%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 8:16:02 PM292 trades$16,23121 min
7/21/2026, 6:09:43 PM23 trades$3,9237 min
6/11/2026, 7:48:30 PM2 trades$3,9000 min
6/11/2026, 5:54:06 PM14 trades$3,2191 min
6/24/2026, 5:12:58 PM14 trades$3,1821 min
6/2/2026, 6:40:51 PM20 trades$2,8900 min
5/28/2026, 4:37:04 PM40 trades$2,7995 min
6/5/2026, 8:29:49 PM36 trades$1,7712 min
6/23/2026, 8:27:04 PM6 trades$1,7701 min
6/5/2026, 7:03:18 PM33 trades$1,5713 min
3/17/2026, 5:43:27 PM42 trades$1,40012 min
5/2/2026, 5:14:10 PM21 trades$1,2864 min
6/11/2026, 6:03:18 PM4 trades$1,2201 min
6/3/2026, 5:19:45 PM8 trades$1,2000 min
4/29/2026, 6:49:24 AM40 trades$1,1068 min
7/21/2026, 8:34:10 PM10 trades$1,0652 min
5/28/2026, 6:19:19 PM10 trades$1,0031 min
6/6/2026, 8:57:28 PM14 trades$8881 min
10/26/2024, 6:08:33 PM1 trades$8830 min
3/17/2026, 1:55:45 PM8 trades$8741 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-05
04-02
09-11
11-15
12-04
03-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 664 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.51/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L67.9 / M15.2 / H16.9