@eratoxtenex

#23,76634

0x0b651d994b2e8c7f3f84442b759941a830e0013e

~153d· 509 markets · 3444 tradesVol: $436,2462026-08-02 07:43:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (285/452)16.5/20
0.73x (win $19,111 / loss $26,283)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8870/15
Sortino -1.9790/10
$-0.0366 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 73 (452 markets)10/10
82/136 profitable days (60%)7.6/10
Max DD 549% of peak ($10,366 / $1,889)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+5,383
DCA Master
Avg 6.6 entries/market
Whale
$196,109 invested
Consistent
82/136 profitable days
High Roller
$1,273/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,383
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$436,246
Total Redeem
$4,562
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
509
total markets
Trades
2883B / 561S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~153d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
285W / 167L events
Realized PnL
$5,383
Win Rate
63%
285W / 167L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-157

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,911 (0.35505600026750833% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$802
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$658
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$452
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$415
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$412
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$409
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?$405
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$376
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$321
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$309

Top Losers

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-4,888
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-1,132
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-874
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-774
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-598
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?$-592
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$-522
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$-507
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-504
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-472

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.098
Sortino
-0.072
HHI
51
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.045
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
10%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 873s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency3.3 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.63
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.9%
Mid (20-55c)17.5%
High (>55c)60.6%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 10:34:01 PM4 trades$2,4831 min
6/2/2026, 10:11:37 AM2 trades$1,9820 min
3/16/2026, 1:00:17 PM1 trades$1,6430 min
6/7/2026, 10:02:15 PM17 trades$1,61615 min
4/13/2026, 11:13:13 PM1 trades$1,3090 min
4/24/2026, 10:36:38 PM20 trades$1,2968 min
5/17/2026, 6:00:54 PM13 trades$1,2432 min
5/31/2026, 10:19:04 PM6 trades$1,1093 min
4/7/2026, 11:13:19 PM7 trades$1,0773 min
6/7/2026, 2:41:24 AM8 trades$1,0202 min
4/29/2026, 8:42:50 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/14/2026, 9:40:48 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/28/2026, 11:03:54 PM1 trades$9970 min
4/27/2026, 9:12:26 PM7 trades$9960 min
3/14/2026, 11:46:47 PM1 trades$9950 min
6/2/2026, 6:45:32 AM1 trades$9920 min
5/19/2026, 7:02:31 AM2 trades$9874 min
6/17/2026, 12:30:32 AM1 trades$9780 min
6/6/2026, 7:07:39 PM2 trades$9720 min
5/22/2026, 3:42:51 PM3 trades$9480 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
03-27
04-22
05-15
06-06
06-29
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 75 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.9 / M17.5 / H60.6