@Arianaes
#2,735,029170x0bbfc7f1f2b7b72cc876df2a972cc5e285a83809
~86d· 329 markets · 2018 tradesVol: $19,9672026-08-02 07:57:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
40% (112/283)4.8/20
0.84x (win $812 / loss $966)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6130/15
Sortino -2.6050/10
$-0.0221 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 336 (283 markets)10/10
24/65 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($278 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8⚽ SPORTS#1,723,430$-165Vol: $8,877
🏛️ POLITICS#1,485,592$-63Vol: $8,819
📈 ECONOMICS#624,549$-19Vol: $941
💰 FINANCE#483,178$-1Vol: $806
🎭 CULTURE#55,209$16Vol: $119
💻 TECH#206,758$-3Vol: $75
🌤️ WEATHER#181,756$-1Vol: $33
₿ CRYPTO#881,502$-1Vol: $29
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-233
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,967
Total Redeem
$58
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
329
total markets
Trades
1202B / 816S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-233
Vol: $19,967
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
40%
112W / 171L events
Realized PnL
$-233
Win Rate
40%
112W / 171L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-6
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $240 (1.029495105615662% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$169
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$29
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$25
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$23
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$22
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$17
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?$17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?$17
Top Losers
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $-52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-21
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$-20
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$-20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$-19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$-18
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-17
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.084
Sortino
-0.132
HHI
258
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
19.6%
Half-Kelly
9.8%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
29.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.5
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1016s — normal for humanCV 5.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.77
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)18.1%
Mid (20-55c)30.5%
High (>55c)51.3%
Sessions
#121/15/2025, 12:37:35 AM8 trades$3,7297 min
12/26/2024, 9:59:38 AM8 trades$1,5666 min
11/4/2025, 2:15:11 AM10 trades$1,45412 min
7/2/2026, 7:10:07 AM52 trades$47017 min
7/1/2026, 3:16:58 PM29 trades$2031 min
6/10/2026, 7:44:28 PM2 trades$1430 min
4/10/2026, 6:40:49 AM21 trades$1270 min
4/10/2026, 7:00:39 AM22 trades$1265 min
4/10/2026, 7:18:41 AM21 trades$1243 min
4/10/2026, 8:11:43 AM21 trades$1170 min
4/10/2026, 5:53:37 PM2 trades$1150 min
6/9/2026, 9:41:01 PM3 trades$1133 min
4/10/2026, 9:32:07 AM16 trades$800 min
4/12/2026, 5:26:29 PM2 trades$780 min
6/12/2026, 5:57:12 PM5 trades$700 min
6/8/2026, 7:56:28 AM9 trades$690 min
4/12/2026, 1:07:05 PM2 trades$650 min
6/5/2026, 3:49:46 AM10 trades$640 min
4/12/2026, 5:13:53 AM2 trades$520 min
6/13/2026, 2:04:39 PM7 trades$500 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-26
12-18
03-15
04-06
06-02
06-12
06-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.1 / M30.5 / H51.3