@narua

#3,004,86239

0x0bd0615e1b600723d3d9408130e4a9b870fd67b0

~115d· 205 markets · 1838 tradesVol: $309,9492026-08-02 06:39:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (119/172)19.6/20
0.88x (win $15,272 / loss $17,293)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4090/15
Sortino -0.4500/10
$-0.0130 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 264 (172 markets)10/10
57/90 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 194% of peak ($8,501 / $4,380)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 69%
DCA Master
Avg 9.1 entries/market
Whale
$156,011 invested
Consistent
57/90 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#21,243$765Vol: $164,000
💰 FINANCE#653,992$-1,374Vol: $58,111
SPORTS#1,632,160$-69Vol: $52,028
💻 TECH#252,711$-229Vol: $14,131
📈 ECONOMICS#9,913$148Vol: $11,541
CRYPTO#1,633,940$-1,549Vol: $5,473
🎭 CULTURE#757,757$-46Vol: $4,558
🌤️ WEATHER#49,603$1Vol: $66

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,343
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$309,949
Total Redeem
$982
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
205
total markets
Trades
485B / 1353S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~115d

Periods

#2
Today
$-39
Vol: $0
Week
$-147
Vol: $0
Month
$-35
Vol: $150
All Time
$-2,343
Vol: $309,949

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
119W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-2,343
Win Rate
69%
119W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$128
Avg Loss
$-412

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,615 (1.9694212830600908% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,903
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1,425
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1,287
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1,061
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$841
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$648
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$493
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$469
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$465
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$410

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-8,723
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-1,638
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?$-1,568
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-1,516
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-814
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-801
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$-551
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-337
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-289
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-193

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.021
Sortino
-0.013
HHI
234
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.9%
Top-5 markets
25.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 579s — normal for humanCV 1.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.6%
Mid (20-55c)10.1%
High (>55c)83.3%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 2:08:17 AM22 trades$13,2831 min
6/6/2026, 5:31:21 AM10 trades$8,6451 min
6/13/2026, 5:51:33 AM11 trades$7,9231 min
6/3/2026, 11:51:09 AM8 trades$6,9700 min
4/29/2026, 7:23:08 AM11 trades$6,9151 min
4/15/2026, 2:01:26 AM18 trades$6,5092 min
5/19/2026, 5:05:20 AM6 trades$6,2993 min
4/30/2026, 5:49:30 AM11 trades$5,5262 min
6/15/2026, 12:19:16 AM6 trades$4,9291 min
5/22/2026, 5:42:10 AM25 trades$4,6140 min
5/12/2026, 1:38:08 PM39 trades$4,4912 min
3/31/2026, 3:02:17 AM6 trades$4,3643 min
6/2/2026, 12:46:28 PM2 trades$4,1080 min
3/23/2026, 5:41:33 AM5 trades$4,0952 min
2/22/2026, 11:30:34 AM4 trades$4,0922 min
2/6/2026, 12:04:15 PM3 trades$3,9591 min
6/21/2026, 2:47:40 AM9 trades$3,8560 min
2/8/2026, 10:46:21 AM7 trades$3,8007 min
2/17/2026, 11:31:51 AM3 trades$3,6772 min
5/27/2026, 2:18:23 AM2 trades$3,6270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-17
12-25
03-01
05-22
06-21
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.6 / M10.1 / H83.3