@melganis
#3,231850x0bfb8009df6c46c1fdd79b65896cf224dc4526a7
~250d· 2305 markets · 22690 tradesVol: $4,940,7032026-08-02 06:23:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
73% (1601/2180)20/20
1.49x (win $195,025 / loss $130,530)8.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.17415/15
Sortino 6.14810/10
$+0.0520 per $1 invested2.6/10
HHI 31 (2180 markets)10/10
150/231 profitable days (65%)8.7/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($9,308 / $71,246)10/10
Badges
10Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+55,689
DCA Master
Avg 10.0 entries/market
Whale
$1,239,383 invested
Consistent
150/231 profitable days
High Roller
$2,561/day
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#988$50,496Vol: $3,113,780
🎭 CULTURE#815,608$-6,982Vol: $959,066
💰 FINANCE#5,176$742Vol: $249,780
💻 TECH#535$3,359Vol: $234,665
₿ CRYPTO#10,231$4,690Vol: $127,437
📈 ECONOMICS#1,767$2,369Vol: $97,283
📢 MENTIONS#688$2,205Vol: $79,479
⚽ SPORTS#1,815,677$-778Vol: $59,722
🌤️ WEATHER#292,017$-264Vol: $8,953
Overview
#1Net PnL
$55,689
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,940,703
Total Redeem
$47,001
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2305
total markets
Trades
16763B / 5927S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~250d
Periods
#2Today
$195
Vol: $0
Week
$-69
Vol: $0
Month
$284
Vol: $0
All Time
$55,689
Vol: $4,940,703
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
73%
1601W / 579L events
Realized PnL
$55,689
Win Rate
73%
1601W / 579L
Profit Factor
1.49x
Avg Win
$122
Avg Loss
$-230
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $37,593 (0.6750515179571236% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$17,760
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10,025
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9,808
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$8,677
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$7,807
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6,708
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$5,134
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$4,009
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$3,326
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?$2,899
Top Losers
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-8,036
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-3,957
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-3,822
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-2,835
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 57 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-2,797
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-2,487
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$-2,256
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-2,181
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?$-2,180
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-2,087
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.114
Sortino
0.242
HHI
28
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.054
Kelly %
20.2%
Half-Kelly
10.1%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
6.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
46.9
Active
Markets / Day
4.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.9m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.0
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 228s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock47 trades/day — high frequency4.8 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.97
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)23.6%
Mid (20-55c)15.4%
High (>55c)61%
Sessions
#122/23/2026, 6:49:58 PM4 trades$16,0991 min
4/12/2026, 3:06:35 PM3 trades$15,0000 min
6/4/2026, 4:18:07 PM3 trades$10,0282 min
5/9/2026, 12:55:53 PM2 trades$8,7120 min
7/27/2026, 4:58:15 AM2 trades$8,0370 min
4/11/2026, 10:22:05 AM19 trades$6,54510 min
4/28/2026, 1:22:50 PM21 trades$5,82031 min
2/20/2026, 10:52:36 AM129 trades$5,67919 min
3/23/2026, 11:02:03 AM38 trades$5,38634 min
6/13/2026, 4:40:57 PM44 trades$5,04427 min
5/22/2026, 8:57:01 AM21 trades$5,0404 min
3/8/2026, 10:22:35 AM61 trades$4,78345 min
2/2/2026, 9:10:42 PM13 trades$4,70919 min
3/21/2026, 5:42:07 PM97 trades$4,50543 min
6/7/2026, 6:57:54 PM17 trades$4,36112 min
4/12/2026, 1:55:41 AM26 trades$4,29211 min
7/8/2026, 3:37:05 PM3 trades$4,2104 min
2/3/2026, 5:34:38 AM4 trades$4,2014 min
2/20/2026, 11:19:42 AM56 trades$4,14811 min
2/9/2026, 8:59:39 AM8 trades$4,1374 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-11
12-30
02-07
03-17
04-24
06-01
07-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.6 / M15.4 / H61