@CloudCactus

#3,064,85428

0x0c99e528d01b62a2ff9e9982e2913d2e935287cf

~291d· 1057 markets · 14376 tradesVol: $4,036,5722026-08-02 05:17:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (562/1036)12.1/20
0.74x (win $95,591 / loss $129,211)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1960/15
Sortino -1.2320/10
$-0.0548 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 128 (1036 markets)10/10
118/224 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 1354% of peak ($38,602 / $2,851)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 13.1 entries/market
Whale
$613,805 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#7,550$6,390Vol: $2,637,548
🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,210$-31,759Vol: $843,280
📢 MENTIONS#2,968$327Vol: $438,227
🎭 CULTURE#775,769$-86Vol: $61,415
CRYPTO#1,591,026$-541Vol: $33,789
💰 FINANCE#591,744$-18Vol: $8,293
💻 TECH#1,700$749Vol: $6,264
📈 ECONOMICS#9,691$154Vol: $3,160

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-25,066
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,036,572
Total Redeem
$6,802
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1057
total markets
Trades
11246B / 3130S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~291d

Periods

#2
Today
$14
Vol: $146
Week
$-1,124
Vol: $146
Month
$-136
Vol: $266
All Time
$-25,066
Vol: $4,036,572

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
562W / 474L events
Realized PnL
$-25,061
Win Rate
54%
562W / 474L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$170
Avg Loss
$-288

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,004 (0.47900002992727675% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$5,214
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,785
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbia$3,005
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,952
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?$2,121
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?$2,094
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?$2,039
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1,766
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1,757
Will Trump x Rogan interview last 150-180 min?$1,604

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-22,047
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,373
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$-3,391
Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,025
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-2,572
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-2,522
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-2,130
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,959
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$-1,956
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,747

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.063
Sortino
-0.045
HHI
108
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.057
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
17.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.9m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 114s — normal for humanCV 3.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.14
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.3%
Mid (20-55c)18.3%
High (>55c)42.4%

Sessions

#12
11/6/2024, 12:22:45 AM17 trades$25,07217 min
11/2/2024, 10:53:05 PM16 trades$14,65217 min
6/15/2026, 4:03:58 AM77 trades$14,5979 min
11/5/2024, 11:50:05 PM5 trades$13,1312 min
6/15/2026, 2:54:00 PM7 trades$12,9705 min
11/6/2024, 12:02:57 AM10 trades$9,85814 min
10/9/2024, 7:35:17 PM47 trades$9,01441 min
11/2/2024, 11:35:13 PM13 trades$8,82811 min
7/12/2026, 11:19:10 PM8 trades$8,8109 min
10/13/2024, 10:40:01 PM37 trades$8,33044 min
11/5/2024, 11:24:45 PM4 trades$8,3101 min
10/9/2024, 8:31:49 PM7 trades$8,26515 min
9/8/2024, 10:21:26 AM6 trades$7,2085 min
10/24/2024, 1:05:15 AM37 trades$6,82332 min
11/2/2024, 11:23:45 PM8 trades$6,2004 min
7/1/2026, 6:58:47 PM53 trades$5,76916 min
7/15/2026, 9:14:35 PM16 trades$5,7198 min
11/3/2024, 12:46:52 AM5 trades$5,3572 min
10/28/2024, 10:19:48 PM70 trades$5,27961 min
10/19/2024, 11:32:03 PM27 trades$5,12129 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-24
09-05
10-17
01-30
04-07
06-09
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 540 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L39.3 / M18.3 / H42.4