@0x0cbb7497ca524c0adc8196bcf4113b0c0b1b283f
90x0cbb7497ca524c0adc8196bcf4113b0c0b1b283f
~78d· 134 markets · 424 trades2026-08-02 07:57:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
26% (33/127)0/20
0.42x (win $1,987 / loss $4,748)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.5120/15
Sortino -5.8460/10
$-0.3016 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 614 (127 markets)9.4/10
16/56 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 9279% of peak ($2,790 / $30)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,649
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,151
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
134
total markets
Trades
252B / 172S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~78d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
26%
33W / 94L events
Realized PnL
$-2,649
Win Rate
26%
33W / 94L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-51
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,587 (0.5990798194362668% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$1,047
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$432
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$108
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$66
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?$45
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$44
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$40
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?$23
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?$19
Top Losers
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$-648
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$-508
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$-505
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$-477
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$-445
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?$-409
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-350
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$-268
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-263
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$-197
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.286
Sortino
-0.293
HHI
568
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.303
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.9%
Top-5 markets
42.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 579s — normal for humanCV 2.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.17
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)50.8%
Mid (20-55c)32.1%
High (>55c)17.1%
Sessions
#1211/5/2025, 2:48:23 AM1 trades$1,5950 min
6/26/2026, 7:35:25 PM24 trades$1,1518 min
10/29/2025, 6:45:07 AM4 trades$1,1031 min
11/10/2025, 8:22:16 PM2 trades$1,0050 min
10/12/2025, 1:27:30 PM1 trades$9950 min
6/15/2026, 7:21:25 AM2 trades$7070 min
6/15/2026, 4:08:46 PM3 trades$7070 min
8/19/2025, 7:32:46 AM1 trades$6100 min
8/19/2025, 12:41:58 PM1 trades$5910 min
8/17/2025, 12:19:46 AM3 trades$5604 min
3/8/2026, 8:05:27 PM2 trades$4580 min
7/6/2026, 1:25:41 PM6 trades$4088 min
8/18/2025, 1:05:52 PM2 trades$3340 min
8/18/2025, 4:35:18 PM1 trades$3000 min
11/16/2025, 4:56:43 PM1 trades$2540 min
6/27/2026, 11:08:16 AM5 trades$2460 min
8/18/2025, 9:20:36 PM1 trades$2060 min
6/29/2026, 7:44:02 AM14 trades$2064 min
2/28/2026, 10:37:49 AM2 trades$2050 min
8/17/2025, 1:54:54 PM1 trades$2030 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-18
11-09
01-03
01-31
02-21
03-04
07-06
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 327 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.17/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.8 / M32.1 / H17.1