@42021

#6,64653

0x0d42cc5ff0526fbb8f0bb9eafa9ebba3f23df124

~398d· 4394 markets · 104899 tradesVol: $9,176,3842026-08-02 04:11:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (1610/4293)3.8/20
1.07x (win $269,629 / loss $250,906)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.96615/15
Sortino 1.38310/10
$+0.0112 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 28 (4293 markets)10/10
155/307 profitable days (50%)5.1/10
Max DD 44% of peak ($10,921 / $24,544)5.1/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+24,121
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
Whale
$1,665,818 invested
High Roller
$4,123/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

9
SPORTS#7,302$6,673Vol: $2,716,634
🎭 CULTURE#1,458$5,411Vol: $2,224,211
🏛️ POLITICS#5,963$5,424Vol: $1,805,432
CRYPTO#15,565$2,863Vol: $610,303
💰 FINANCE#654,434$-1,592Vol: $494,051
🌤️ WEATHER#1,656$975Vol: $428,196
📈 ECONOMICS#674,445$-475Vol: $150,265
💻 TECH#252,411$-212Vol: $91,933
📢 MENTIONS#1,557$776Vol: $79,858

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$24,151
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,176,384
Total Redeem
$76,658
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4394
total markets
Trades
75893B / 29006S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~398d

Periods

#2
Today
$-314
Vol: $7,144
Week
$25
Vol: $7,144
Month
$-346
Vol: $24,422
All Time
$24,151
Vol: $9,176,384

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
1610W / 2683L events
Realized PnL
$24,121
Win Rate
38%
1610W / 2683L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$167
Avg Loss
$-94

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,672 (0.6497314785717662% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)$6,665
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$4,833
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$4,175
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$2,416
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?$2,392
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2,052
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?$2,002
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$1,980
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs$1,749
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$1,572

Top Losers

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-6,885
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,816
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-3,325
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-2,119
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Otto Virtanen$-1,885
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?$-1,791
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-1,764
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,372
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$-1,365
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)$-1,354

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.051
Sortino
0.057
HHI
23
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
259.7
Very active
Markets / Day
10.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.4m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
95 min
Avg Trades / Session
218.2

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 2.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock260 trades/day — automation11 markets/day — mass coverage98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.65
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.8%
Mid (20-55c)27.9%
High (>55c)24.3%

Sessions

#12
2/9/2026, 12:26:37 PM1613 trades$35,442403 min
2/8/2026, 1:59:19 PM1083 trades$19,430268 min
5/16/2026, 6:06:38 PM615 trades$19,343302 min
6/20/2026, 12:02:28 AM249 trades$13,90353 min
1/9/2026, 8:47:40 AM504 trades$13,246102 min
2/8/2026, 9:04:51 PM475 trades$10,778130 min
2/9/2026, 7:17:15 PM511 trades$9,449203 min
1/7/2026, 4:54:21 PM309 trades$8,593134 min
2/9/2026, 5:18:29 AM311 trades$8,423150 min
1/8/2026, 4:35:50 PM282 trades$7,29771 min
3/28/2026, 6:57:38 PM141 trades$5,83779 min
1/7/2026, 10:56:25 AM292 trades$5,570156 min
3/19/2026, 6:39:41 PM193 trades$5,463102 min
3/15/2026, 9:43:07 PM204 trades$5,308169 min
1/28/2026, 5:49:36 PM108 trades$5,17985 min
7/1/2025, 3:20:53 PM75 trades$4,79868 min
1/7/2026, 7:42:49 PM158 trades$4,76965 min
3/28/2026, 3:04:27 PM126 trades$4,59769 min
2/1/2026, 8:33:16 PM116 trades$4,47384 min
2/8/2026, 7:21:09 PM225 trades$4,45498 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
10-18
12-17
02-10
04-02
05-23
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.65/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.8 / M27.9 / H24.3