Ugabooga

@Ugabooga

#2,906,97459

0x0f0f78dfb8c7bf67e52f3a7cae03722f95fac8ae

~73d· 255 markets · 1768 tradesVol: $1,567,4682026-08-02 07:59:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (105/222)8.6/20
1.60x (win $22,220 / loss $13,870)10/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.17415/15
Sortino 1.70810/10
$+0.0098 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 541 (222 markets)9.8/10
30/58 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 156% of peak ($13,017 / $8,350)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 5.6 entries/market
Whale
$852,984 invested
High Roller
$1,356/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,741,578$-207Vol: $603,895
🏛️ POLITICS#1,586,275$-353Vol: $547,250
🎭 CULTURE#795,670$-219Vol: $293,663
📈 ECONOMICS#72,819$3Vol: $114,013
💰 FINANCE#588,283$-16Vol: $4,284
🌤️ WEATHER#281,901$-81Vol: $2,729
💻 TECH#176,748$-1Vol: $1,030
📢 MENTIONS#22,733$7Vol: $405
₿ CRYPTO#468,623$1Vol: $49

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-866
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,567,468
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
255
total markets
Trades
1102B / 666S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-866
Vol: $1,567,468

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
105W / 117L events
Realized PnL
$-866
Win Rate
47%
105W / 117L
Profit Factor
1.6x
Avg Win
$212
Avg Loss
$-135

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,931 (19.562165659553326% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6,096
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,452
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,383
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,824
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,470
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$769
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$396
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$371
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11?$134
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$46

Top Losers

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12,259
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-497
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-86
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-52
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 11?$-51
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$-44
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?$-44
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-42
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?$-39

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.061
Sortino
0.061
HHI
285
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
31.6%
Half-Kelly
15.8%
Top-1 market
10.1%
Top-5 markets
28.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.7m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 142s — normal for humanCV 4.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.6
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.7%
Mid (20-55c)9.4%
High (>55c)81.9%

Sessions

#12
10/14/2025, 4:49:51 PM3 trades$59,4873 min
11/6/2025, 4:48:29 PM3 trades$56,5063 min
11/12/2025, 8:25:14 PM2 trades$56,4031 min
11/7/2025, 8:49:43 PM4 trades$54,7815 min
10/25/2024, 9:47:49 PM3 trades$51,7121 min
10/13/2025, 8:26:19 AM5 trades$39,5537 min
10/25/2024, 9:21:56 PM3 trades$39,0215 min
10/9/2025, 5:52:54 AM2 trades$30,9443 min
10/7/2025, 9:14:46 AM2 trades$30,4532 min
10/21/2025, 10:51:55 AM2 trades$30,4011 min
10/8/2025, 6:02:10 AM3 trades$30,3533 min
10/24/2025, 7:55:51 PM4 trades$30,2504 min
10/15/2025, 7:49:27 PM3 trades$30,2094 min
10/22/2025, 3:40:23 PM1 trades$30,1560 min
11/5/2025, 10:16:03 AM2 trades$30,1071 min
11/3/2025, 10:14:13 AM3 trades$29,9435 min
10/15/2025, 7:58:45 AM1 trades$29,7100 min
10/9/2025, 5:30:02 PM1 trades$29,6780 min
11/10/2025, 8:23:18 AM1 trades$28,2300 min
11/18/2025, 4:30:19 PM2 trades$28,1591 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
05-06
10-06
10-16
11-10
06-11
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
16% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.7 / M9.4 / H81.9