Aaronruan

@Aaronruan

#2,925,91081

0x0f8e236ea50f5159b97c7de91221c8b0702a9ea3

~256d· 201 markets · 3489 tradesVol: $716,174 @AaronRuanzs2026-08-02 07:03:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (137/188)20/20
1.54x (win $11,824 / loss $7,655)9.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.66815/15
Sortino 2.99810/10
$+0.0447 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 868 (188 markets)8.2/10
93/128 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($1,721 / $4,749)6.8/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 16.9 entries/market
Whale
$93,207 invested
Consistent
93/128 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,569$-1,434Vol: $404,225
SPORTS#40,888$888Vol: $108,517
💰 FINANCE#648,216$-469Vol: $87,113
CRYPTO#110,736$71Vol: $75,500
🎭 CULTURE#787,654$-136Vol: $19,932
📈 ECONOMICS#19,879$42Vol: $17,613
💻 TECH#33,744$2Vol: $2,104
📢 MENTIONS#65,033$-0Vol: $107

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,020
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$716,174
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
201
total markets
Trades
2415B / 1074S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~256d

Periods

#2
Today
$-920
Vol: $37,126
Week
$-877
Vol: $37,126
Month
$-799
Vol: $79,073
All Time
$-1,020
Vol: $716,174

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
137W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$-1,020
Win Rate
73%
137W / 51L
Profit Factor
1.54x
Avg Win
$86
Avg Loss
$-156

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,753 (5.639565545567722% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2,371
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2,086
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1,296
Spurs vs. Knicks$737
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$592
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$420
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$340
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$316
Will Solana reach $160 in October? $292
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$269

Top Losers

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-1,716
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-1,183
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1,008
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-571
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-422
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?$-412
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-402
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-387
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$-282
Spurs vs. Knicks$-279

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.087
Sortino
0.087
HHI
609
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.047
Kelly %
2.1%
Half-Kelly
1.0%
Top-1 market
22.5%
Top-5 markets
35.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.3m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 130s — normal for humanCV 5.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.94
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.9%
Mid (20-55c)36%
High (>55c)36.1%

Sessions

#12
9/24/2024, 12:10:05 PM54 trades$10,88939 min
9/24/2024, 9:21:33 AM1 trades$10,1950 min
9/24/2024, 9:29:23 AM39 trades$6,00917 min
9/24/2024, 11:17:17 AM22 trades$4,20821 min
9/24/2024, 1:23:18 PM13 trades$3,8446 min
9/24/2024, 2:26:49 PM15 trades$3,82517 min
10/30/2025, 3:31:55 AM7 trades$2,90912 min
9/24/2024, 2:05:49 PM16 trades$2,56115 min
7/27/2026, 11:32:55 AM5 trades$2,5523 min
6/6/2026, 7:05:07 AM11 trades$1,8240 min
7/27/2026, 3:24:34 AM8 trades$1,5304 min
10/30/2025, 2:51:15 AM2 trades$1,4201 min
6/5/2026, 11:33:28 AM101 trades$1,34050 min
11/4/2025, 11:31:47 AM6 trades$1,3061 min
11/4/2025, 11:16:47 AM1 trades$1,2990 min
9/24/2024, 3:43:47 AM1 trades$1,2980 min
6/1/2025, 2:10:57 PM4 trades$1,2901 min
7/27/2026, 2:02:04 AM3 trades$1,2000 min
5/21/2025, 2:36:35 AM7 trades$1,19416 min
5/25/2025, 3:37:41 PM4 trades$1,0632 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-10
12-19
05-25
12-26
03-08
05-11
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.94/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.9 / M36 / H36.1