@rupert152edmund

#353,49826

0x1035cea4f9dd35b407ca320e3cfe8af9e2d73421

~85d· 143 markets · 730 tradesVol: $46,9972026-08-02 06:24:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (62/125)9.8/20
0.48x (win $694 / loss $1,457)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7600/15
Sortino -2.9550/10
$-0.0305 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 663 (125 markets)9.2/10
37/64 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 329% of peak ($1,095 / $333)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+35
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#306,392$1Vol: $41,931
📈 ECONOMICS#22,465$33Vol: $2,712
SPORTS#403,147$2Vol: $1,477
CRYPTO#914,592$-2Vol: $396
🎭 CULTURE#182,482$1Vol: $330
💰 FINANCE#401,392$-0Vol: $72
💻 TECH#85,183$0Vol: $54
🌤️ WEATHER#95,613$0Vol: $12
📢 MENTIONS#44,009$1Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$35
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,997
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
143
total markets
Trades
404B / 326S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~85d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$35
Vol: $46,997

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
62W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$35
Win Rate
50%
62W / 63L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $408 (11.523594235659791% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$165
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$145
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$98
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$68
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$48
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$40
Xi Jinping out by June 30?$32
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$31
Iran leadership change by May 31?$14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$14

Top Losers

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$-454
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-231
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-152
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$-146
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-107
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-90
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-50
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$-44
Iran leadership change by June 30?$-36
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$-35

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.143
Sortino
-0.104
HHI
400
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.042
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
41.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4409s — normal for humanCV 2.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.62
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.3%
Mid (20-55c)7.4%
High (>55c)69.3%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 8:26:52 AM4 trades$3,2251 min
5/14/2026, 4:21:55 PM5 trades$2,3101 min
5/11/2026, 5:42:17 PM2 trades$9890 min
5/13/2026, 12:55:05 PM2 trades$9610 min
5/13/2026, 8:57:27 AM1 trades$9600 min
5/12/2026, 11:12:05 PM2 trades$9601 min
5/11/2026, 4:24:10 PM3 trades$9590 min
5/12/2026, 8:46:36 PM2 trades$9570 min
6/24/2026, 3:25:44 PM6 trades$5940 min
6/7/2026, 11:36:25 PM5 trades$5421 min
5/26/2026, 7:25:20 PM4 trades$5211 min
6/23/2026, 12:28:29 PM3 trades$3940 min
6/25/2026, 10:37:04 AM3 trades$3920 min
6/24/2026, 9:29:50 PM3 trades$3910 min
6/15/2026, 12:21:07 PM4 trades$3900 min
6/25/2026, 5:38:58 PM3 trades$3880 min
6/21/2026, 7:14:44 AM3 trades$3810 min
6/24/2026, 1:54:14 PM4 trades$3800 min
6/24/2026, 10:18:32 AM4 trades$3790 min
6/19/2026, 10:32:59 AM3 trades$3780 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-14
05-08
07-07
07-17
07-27
06-01
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.3 / M7.4 / H69.3