israelflannagan

@israelflannagan

#299,01622

0x1131421cae028d05471b215e269fa00cd53a5c82

~28d· 40 markets · 132 tradesVol: $16,4182026-08-02 05:22:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

13% (3/23)0/20
1.13x (win $200 / loss $178)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4538.5/15
Sortino 0.6376.4/10
$+0.0020 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 1867 (23 markets)3.2/10
3/22 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 87% of peak ($154 / $176)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+57

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,417,328$-30Vol: $11,259
SPORTS#129,606$87Vol: $5,144
🎭 CULTURE#367,379$-0Vol: $11
CRYPTO#685,125$0Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$57
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,418
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
61B / 71S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$57
Vol: $16,418

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
3W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$57
Win Rate
13%
3W / 20L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $200 (3.4870141188774624% of PnL)

Top Winners

Magic vs. Raptors$101
Panthers vs. Avalanche$99
Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?$0

Top Losers

Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans$-140
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?$-23
Mariners vs. Twins$-6
Reds vs. Nationals$-4
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$-1
Will Christian Lindner be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-1
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-1
Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea?$-1
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$-0
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.023
Sortino
0.031
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
3.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.5h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 538s — normal for humanCV 0.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.2%
Mid (20-55c)9.8%
High (>55c)82%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 5:57:19 PM24 trades$2,1504 min
7/15/2026, 2:50:20 PM12 trades$1,8284 min
7/16/2026, 11:38:43 PM12 trades$1,8046 min
7/16/2026, 10:43:13 AM8 trades$1,2453 min
7/16/2026, 1:58:19 PM15 trades$9505 min
7/16/2026, 1:48:59 PM6 trades$9142 min
7/15/2026, 12:31:17 PM6 trades$9142 min
7/17/2026, 8:41:57 AM6 trades$9030 min
7/16/2026, 10:55:07 AM4 trades$5831 min
1/7/2025, 6:39:09 PM1 trades$1400 min
1/3/2025, 10:21:57 AM1 trades$1230 min
1/6/2025, 1:26:59 AM1 trades$1210 min
10/2/2024, 1:40:02 PM1 trades$230 min
6/24/2025, 1:13:03 PM1 trades$60 min
5/7/2025, 6:34:24 AM1 trades$50 min
5/7/2025, 12:57:05 PM1 trades$50 min
4/22/2025, 3:37:18 AM1 trades$50 min
4/22/2025, 7:56:14 AM1 trades$50 min
4/16/2025, 7:40:26 AM1 trades$50 min
4/16/2025, 12:10:36 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-02
01-07
04-02
04-22
05-02
05-07
05-13
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 198 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.2 / M9.8 / H82