@WhatsItGotToDoWithBaseball

#1,243,91229

0x11ee831cc7455b65063766fce780018c835ef7fb

~8d· 14 markets · 20 tradesVol: $37,2082026-08-02 05:29:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (10/14)20/20
0.66x (win $40 / loss $61)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.1480 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 9629 (14 markets)0/10
4/6 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 171% of peak ($50 / $29)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
Consistent
4/6 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#139,081$18Vol: $27,121
CRYPTO#1,261,996$-20Vol: $10,000
📈 ECONOMICS#64,556$4Vol: $25
💰 FINANCE#154,287$1Vol: $18
💻 TECH#35,135$2Vol: $13
📢 MENTIONS#116,482$-5Vol: $9
🌤️ WEATHER#44,305$2Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,208
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
17B / 3S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1
Vol: $37,208

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
10W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-1
Win Rate
71%
10W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35 (47.2972972972973% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Josh Shapiro be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$29
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?$4
Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?$2
September temperature increase by between 1.23-1.28°C?$2
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?$1
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$1
Will Trump say "trans" on The Joe Rogan Experience?$1
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$1
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?$0
USD worth more than Euro before 2025?$0

Top Losers

Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?$-40
Will another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$-12
Will Trump say "Mars" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?$-6
GPT-5 released in 2024?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.149
Sortino
-0.211
HHI
1129
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.148
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.8%
Top-5 markets
67.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
8
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 0.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern7/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.43
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.2%
Mid (20-55c)11.8%
High (>55c)47.1%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 12:00:37 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
10/13/2024, 4:52:53 AM1 trades$540 min
12/26/2024, 6:19:46 PM3 trades$430 min
10/24/2024, 7:17:22 PM5 trades$402 min
10/11/2024, 6:56:35 PM6 trades$352 min
10/25/2024, 9:40:57 AM1 trades$170 min
10/28/2024, 5:12:36 PM1 trades$10 min
10/12/2024, 6:40:19 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-11
10-13
10-24
10-28
12-26
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 616 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.43/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.2 / M11.8 / H47.1