@mikesa

#182,55453

0x11f0dd3f415f69b74ab8de0b68e4d08fa85efcbc

~69d· 80 markets · 238 tradesVol: $77,5902026-08-02 07:36:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

94% (72/77)20/20
1.09x (win $701 / loss $644)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2965.6/15
Sortino 0.3373.4/10
$+0.0012 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 404 (77 markets)10/10
43/48 profitable days (90%)10/10
Max DD 189% of peak ($403 / $213)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 94%
Profitable
PnL $+179
Consistent
43/48 profitable days
Win Streak
21 wins in a row

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,514,457$-160Vol: $51,608
🏛️ POLITICS#1,420,115$-30Vol: $6,702
💰 FINANCE#18,210$99Vol: $6,599
📈 ECONOMICS#14,704$74Vol: $5,161
SPORTS#93,625$174Vol: $4,776
🎭 CULTURE#72,571$9Vol: $1,508

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$179
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$77,590
Total Redeem
$719
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
131B / 107S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$23
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$179
Vol: $77,590

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
94%
72W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$179
Win Rate
94%
72W / 5L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-129

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $328 (1.830013947001395% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$154
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$100
Thunder vs. Magic$73
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 3?$43
Heat vs. Hornets$38
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs$35
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$19

Top Losers

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-403
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-235
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-4
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.015
Sortino
0.006
HHI
364
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
34.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.97
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.8%
Mid (20-55c)1.5%
High (>55c)97.7%

Sessions

#12
10/28/2025, 12:18:33 PM2 trades$5,7390 min
10/24/2025, 3:08:19 PM17 trades$4,0896 min
10/27/2025, 6:59:47 AM1 trades$4,0430 min
10/25/2025, 3:49:03 PM8 trades$3,9185 min
10/26/2025, 11:44:47 PM1 trades$3,3940 min
10/29/2025, 4:07:09 PM2 trades$2,8721 min
3/18/2026, 1:13:39 AM4 trades$2,5848 min
10/25/2025, 11:12:27 AM3 trades$2,2601 min
4/29/2026, 9:31:08 AM14 trades$2,2030 min
10/25/2025, 11:35:19 AM1 trades$1,6280 min
11/18/2025, 3:06:43 AM3 trades$1,2551 min
4/21/2026, 2:56:56 PM3 trades$1,2260 min
3/18/2026, 1:06:55 AM2 trades$1,1430 min
3/10/2026, 1:17:57 AM2 trades$1,1221 min
3/6/2026, 12:31:59 AM2 trades$1,1214 min
5/21/2026, 12:40:36 PM2 trades$1,1180 min
11/2/2025, 11:54:51 PM2 trades$1,0880 min
11/1/2025, 7:53:11 AM2 trades$1,0880 min
10/30/2025, 1:48:21 AM3 trades$1,0811 min
10/30/2025, 11:37:19 PM1 trades$1,0750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-17
11-01
11-18
01-28
03-26
05-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.8 / M1.5 / H97.7