@grutifer
#81,133960x12315d8f7652cb599f58eea84141ff8b30283e32
~16d· 20 markets · 147 tradesVol: $6,5262026-08-03 02:48:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
90% (18/20)20/20
11.38x (win $1,397 / loss $123)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.19515/15
Sortino 53.44110/10
$+0.3328 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1229 (20 markets)6.4/10
12/14 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($122 / $1,274)10/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+1,005
DCA Master
Avg 7.3 entries/market
Consistent
12/14 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
5💻 TECH#1,421$983Vol: $5,768
💰 FINANCE#42,611$18Vol: $560
🎭 CULTURE#110,676$3Vol: $146
🏛️ POLITICS#328,113$1Vol: $50
⚽ SPORTS#584,990$0Vol: $1
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,005
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,526
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
87B / 60S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$3
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,005
Vol: $6,526
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
90%
18W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$1,005
Win Rate
90%
18W / 2L
Profit Factor
11.38x
Avg Win
$78
Avg Loss
$-123
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,316 (1.309532341874216% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$820
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$472
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?$24
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?$18
Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$13
Will Claude 5 be released by June 19, 2026?$12
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?$8
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?$8
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$4
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? $4
Top Losers
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$-123
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.262
Sortino
inf
HHI
1033
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.333
Kelly %
65.2%
Half-Kelly
32.6%
Top-1 market
18.2%
Top-5 markets
63.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 623s — normal for humanCV 1.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.35
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.4%
Mid (20-55c)3.4%
High (>55c)93.1%
Sessions
#127/27/2026, 4:29:27 AM17 trades$9270 min
6/12/2026, 10:46:39 AM40 trades$4887 min
7/27/2026, 6:15:49 PM1 trades$4310 min
6/23/2026, 5:01:29 AM7 trades$3490 min
7/27/2026, 12:00:16 PM9 trades$3220 min
6/6/2026, 3:39:19 PM3 trades$2431 min
6/6/2026, 12:29:45 PM3 trades$1943 min
6/21/2026, 12:05:17 AM4 trades$1531 min
6/5/2026, 9:28:04 PM3 trades$1210 min
6/12/2026, 10:40:30 AM3 trades$1131 min
6/6/2026, 10:49:22 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/7/2026, 1:29:16 AM1 trades$980 min
6/10/2026, 8:07:57 PM1 trades$980 min
6/14/2026, 10:59:42 PM1 trades$980 min
7/27/2026, 2:03:28 PM3 trades$952 min
6/21/2026, 2:18:29 AM7 trades$810 min
6/23/2026, 3:36:43 PM2 trades$791 min
6/26/2026, 3:07:08 PM3 trades$770 min
6/24/2026, 2:18:05 AM4 trades$750 min
6/21/2026, 8:25:20 AM1 trades$490 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-06
06-08
06-10
06-14
06-23
06-27
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 7 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.4 / M3.4 / H93.1