ithinkthisisfoster

@ithinkthisisfoster

#117,56988

0x128be76f9decb982af0e2acdcab658aa0fd30ee5

~7d· 12 markets · 55 tradesVol: $4,4922026-08-02 07:55:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (7/12)14.2/20
5.73x (win $1,031 / loss $180)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 12.97815/15
Sortino 72.40710/10
$+0.5628 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1095 (12 markets)7/10
4/7 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($73 / $924)10/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+484
Cool Head
Max DD 8%

Categories

4
📢 MENTIONS#2,319$468Vol: $2,470
SPORTS#248,357$15Vol: $810
🏛️ POLITICS#350,715$1Vol: $800
🎭 CULTURE#362,709$-0Vol: $412

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$484
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,492
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
18B / 37S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$484
Vol: $4,492

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
7W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$484
Win Rate
58%
7W / 5L
Profit Factor
5.73x
Avg Win
$147
Avg Loss
$-60

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $856 (1.7687935346520327% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?$485
Will Trump say "MAHA" or "Make America Healthy Again" during June 24 Rally?$213
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg / Meg" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?$157
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?$118
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg / Meg" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?$49
Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?$5
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5$4

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?$-107
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$-65
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.629
Sortino
4.022
HHI
1173
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.563
Kelly %
11.7%
Half-Kelly
5.9%
Top-1 market
18.5%
Top-5 markets
68%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
46.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
15
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2757s — normal for humanCV 0.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.58
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.6%
Mid (20-55c)27.8%
High (>55c)66.7%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 1:21:20 AM5 trades$4902 min
6/27/2026, 1:12:35 AM4 trades$4451 min
6/18/2026, 12:02:35 AM6 trades$3730 min
6/19/2026, 5:04:23 PM8 trades$3115 min
6/19/2026, 2:56:07 AM2 trades$2000 min
6/27/2026, 1:59:02 AM2 trades$2000 min
6/19/2026, 11:04:34 PM10 trades$1760 min
6/23/2026, 8:13:08 PM6 trades$1690 min
6/17/2026, 6:01:35 PM3 trades$900 min
6/23/2026, 8:25:53 PM1 trades$890 min
6/30/2026, 3:47:31 AM1 trades$650 min
6/17/2026, 6:16:01 PM1 trades$460 min
6/19/2026, 11:15:37 PM1 trades$420 min
6/20/2026, 2:36:10 AM2 trades$180 min
6/17/2026, 7:07:44 PM3 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-18
06-19
06-20
06-23
06-27
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.6 / M27.8 / H66.7