@johnhutchinson

#702,24353

0x12afac2861b9fc95621d2cf5a7965fdf14b04266

~24d· 37 markets · 79 tradesVol: $22,8922026-08-02 04:14:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (19/33)13.8/20
1.34x (win $27 / loss $20)6.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.41815/15
Sortino 4.03510/10
$+0.0004 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 9523 (33 markets)0/10
11/21 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 61% of peak ($10 / $16)1.9/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+1
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,297,164$-11Vol: $17,818
SPORTS#388,721$2Vol: $4,975
CRYPTO#213,107$13Vol: $46
🎭 CULTURE#606,203$-3Vol: $45
💰 FINANCE#210,531$0Vol: $7
💻 TECH#132,890$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,892
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
45B / 34S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$1
Vol: $22,892

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
19W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$1
Win Rate
58%
19W / 14L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13 (11.837837837837837% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 18?$6
Ethereum above $1,600 on April 18?$4
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4?$3
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)$3
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?$2
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$2
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?$2
March Madness: Team from the ACC to win?$1
XRP above $2.20 on May 9?$1
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?$1

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$-5
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-5
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$-3
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2
Ethereum above $1,800 on May 9?$-2
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-20?$-2
Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea?$-1
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.123
Sortino
0.217
HHI
233
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
56.8%
Half-Kelly
28.4%
Top-1 market
15.3%
Top-5 markets
15.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2003s — normal for humanCV 2.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.48
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.3%
Mid (20-55c)17.8%
High (>55c)68.9%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 8:57:37 AM13 trades$2,9510 min
6/28/2026, 8:24:14 AM2 trades$2,8960 min
6/28/2026, 10:13:55 AM2 trades$2,8930 min
6/28/2026, 11:02:34 AM2 trades$2,8930 min
2/1/2026, 6:30:34 PM1 trades$2,4500 min
2/1/2026, 8:57:54 PM1 trades$2,4480 min
4/20/2026, 11:28:50 PM5 trades$1,5280 min
7/18/2026, 12:40:10 PM2 trades$9640 min
7/18/2026, 1:53:04 PM2 trades$9640 min
5/27/2026, 4:08:54 AM8 trades$254 min
4/10/2026, 2:24:25 AM4 trades$122 min
1/1/2026, 9:05:09 PM2 trades$101 min
4/20/2026, 10:29:34 PM4 trades$101 min
5/13/2026, 5:43:29 PM6 trades$85 min
2/20/2026, 4:32:08 PM2 trades$61 min
1/16/2026, 12:03:34 AM2 trades$61 min
4/16/2025, 2:36:07 PM1 trades$50 min
2/14/2026, 1:27:13 AM1 trades$40 min
4/17/2025, 11:15:39 AM1 trades$40 min
4/2/2025, 8:06:46 PM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-28
04-17
05-04
12-12
02-01
03-06
05-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 129 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.3 / M17.8 / H68.9