@mudgrauiop12
#3,057,75970x12df769e90c8d9a3e8caaf1c89f8007f453e6a3d
~25d· 66 markets · 1242 tradesVol: $1,307,0692026-08-02 05:23:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
10% (6/58)0/20
0.08x (win $1,333 / loss $16,863)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -13.3460/15
Sortino -10.9420/10
$-0.2823 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1066 (58 markets)7.2/10
1/21 profitable days (5%)0/10
Max DD 27661% of peak ($15,587 / $56)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20
Whale
$55,023 invested
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,709$-6,095Vol: $598,673
📈 ECONOMICS#669,369$-235Vol: $217,130
💻 TECH#21,153$7Vol: $178,683
⚽ SPORTS#1,865,034$-3,401Vol: $132,507
💰 FINANCE#642,754$-238Vol: $102,200
₿ CRYPTO#1,644,146$-1,982Vol: $77,877
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-11,944
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,307,069
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
268B / 974S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-95
Vol: $0
Month
$-12
Vol: $0
All Time
$-11,944
Vol: $1,307,069
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
10%
6W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$-11,944
Win Rate
10%
6W / 52L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$222
Avg Loss
$-351
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,324 (0.11085305910237529% of PnL)
Top Winners
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?$1,260
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$3
Top Losers
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-3,551
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-3,119
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-2,848
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?$-1,213
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$-1,000
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? $-767
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-698
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$-624
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?$-315
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$-287
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.682
Sortino
-0.674
HHI
115
Diversified
EV per $1
$-1.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
19.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
21.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.5
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 352s — normal for humanCV 3.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency1.2 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.12
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)57.5%
Mid (20-55c)17.5%
High (>55c)25%
Sessions
#126/10/2026, 3:36:54 AM2 trades$50,0000 min
6/17/2026, 6:10:50 AM2 trades$50,0000 min
7/20/2026, 3:53:49 PM11 trades$49,8840 min
6/18/2026, 3:20:26 AM4 trades$43,3820 min
6/23/2026, 3:32:23 PM84 trades$36,9762 min
6/12/2026, 3:19:27 PM9 trades$30,4051 min
6/18/2026, 3:30:20 AM2 trades$30,0000 min
7/4/2026, 5:06:49 PM14 trades$28,8670 min
6/9/2026, 5:14:27 PM8 trades$27,9054 min
6/14/2026, 12:57:58 PM63 trades$24,2940 min
6/23/2026, 3:48:52 PM22 trades$21,4390 min
6/17/2026, 4:05:38 AM2 trades$20,0000 min
6/9/2026, 5:37:06 PM12 trades$17,1178 min
6/21/2026, 3:16:46 PM47 trades$16,6380 min
6/8/2026, 11:59:13 AM22 trades$16,44810 min
6/12/2026, 2:38:13 PM2 trades$15,0000 min
6/24/2026, 8:58:29 AM47 trades$13,2030 min
6/19/2026, 1:48:47 PM24 trades$11,8211 min
6/23/2026, 5:05:40 PM20 trades$10,4560 min
7/2/2026, 6:23:25 AM47 trades$10,2797 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-05
06-08
06-11
06-15
06-18
06-23
07-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
78.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.5 / M17.5 / H25