@sazzaa

#4,45554

0x12ed45d2b45259d27a7fb593e564cd269c4fc9b4

~138d· 332 markets · 27809 tradesVol: $3,961,4382026-08-02 05:21:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (139/330)6.1/20
1.19x (win $193,290 / loss $162,016)4.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.82215/15
Sortino 3.22810/10
$+0.0618 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 83 (330 markets)10/10
58/113 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 75% of peak ($23,430 / $31,275)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+38,555
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Whale
$506,055 invested
High Roller
$1,033/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#195$38,126Vol: $3,948,893
🌤️ WEATHER#2,877$429Vol: $12,545

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$38,555
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,961,438
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
332
total markets
Trades
16336B / 11473S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~138d

Periods

#2
Today
$-95
Vol: $4,945
Week
$1,300
Vol: $4,945
Month
$-63
Vol: $56,094
All Time
$38,555
Vol: $3,961,438

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
139W / 191L events
Realized PnL
$38,555
Win Rate
42%
139W / 191L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$1,391
Avg Loss
$-848

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $43,027 (1.1159896479869442% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$17,098
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$13,011
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$12,918
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$10,367
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$9,688
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$9,639
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$8,854
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$7,516
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$7,482
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$7,331

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-7,749
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-5,951
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-5,643
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-4,976
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-4,974
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-4,768
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-4,269
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$-3,752
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-3,412
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$-3,367

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.095
Sortino
0.151
HHI
87
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.062
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
11.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
56.8
Very active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
58s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.8m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
65.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 58s — normal for humanCV 2.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock57 trades/day — mass trading0.7 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
83.74
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.7%
Mid (20-55c)38%
High (>55c)27.4%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 1:55:28 PM167 trades$14,81521 min
5/13/2026, 2:53:31 PM149 trades$12,96318 min
6/14/2026, 9:45:54 PM176 trades$7,45015 min
4/10/2026, 6:00:15 AM114 trades$6,93915 min
4/27/2026, 2:36:34 PM118 trades$5,64226 min
4/24/2026, 3:43:44 PM103 trades$5,22516 min
7/7/2026, 3:00:40 PM40 trades$5,1616 min
4/1/2026, 3:06:53 PM75 trades$5,12038 min
7/21/2026, 1:43:18 PM91 trades$4,53027 min
6/13/2026, 3:58:28 PM105 trades$4,30527 min
4/22/2026, 6:56:54 AM54 trades$4,25626 min
7/31/2026, 3:17:38 AM25 trades$3,8079 min
3/31/2026, 3:56:05 PM4 trades$3,7722 min
6/12/2026, 1:00:21 PM68 trades$3,71126 min
3/29/2026, 10:15:36 AM19 trades$3,6188 min
6/9/2026, 3:27:39 PM68 trades$3,55010 min
5/22/2026, 8:15:45 AM70 trades$3,46718 min
5/11/2026, 5:45:59 PM100 trades$3,38813 min
7/2/2026, 4:01:04 PM78 trades$3,26312 min
3/8/2026, 5:39:27 AM62 trades$3,20652 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
03-16
04-04
05-03
05-22
06-18
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 83.74/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34.7 / M38 / H27.4