peculave

@peculave

#2,825,12012

0x132d78f1b3e213ad11c140aee693aa4407aab771

~36d· 610 markets · 8751 tradesVol: $1,050,2692026-08-02 05:20:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (131/587)0/20
0.57x (win $2,114 / loss $3,690)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9500/15
Sortino -5.8350/10
$-0.1665 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 218 (587 markets)10/10
13/34 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 3123% of peak ($1,628 / $52)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
93% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,678,007$-100Vol: $286,811
🎭 CULTURE#774,730$-82Vol: $264,888
🏛️ POLITICS#1,485,642$-64Vol: $183,184
🌤️ WEATHER#274,560$-47Vol: $143,547
₿ CRYPTO#1,357,009$-40Vol: $131,016
📈 ECONOMICS#623,203$-19Vol: $15,745
💰 FINANCE#619,561$-54Vol: $10,773
📢 MENTIONS#134,762$-13Vol: $8,729
💻 TECH#218,897$-6Vol: $3,960

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-425
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,050,269
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
610
total markets
Trades
6446B / 2305S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-425
Vol: $1,050,269

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
131W / 456L events
Realized PnL
$-425
Win Rate
22%
131W / 456L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,005 (2.363610699414214% of PnL)

Top Winners

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$470
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$304
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$231
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?$183
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$112
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?$109
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$79
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?$77
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$75
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$59

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-252
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$-243
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$-190
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-183
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$-177
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$-141
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-138
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-118
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-110
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-95

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.307
Sortino
-0.256
HHI
251
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.178
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
24.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
90.2
Very active
Markets / Day
6.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
11.4m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — normal for humanCV 10.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock90 trades/day — mass trading6.3 markets/day — normal85% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.68
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)92.5%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)6.3%

Sessions

#12
4/22/2026, 2:46:30 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/10/2026, 2:07:06 PM5 trades$4860 min
4/19/2026, 5:11:40 AM3 trades$4140 min
5/10/2026, 5:47:06 PM19 trades$41219 min
5/7/2026, 11:32:30 AM34 trades$32447 min
5/6/2026, 8:57:32 AM16 trades$3219 min
4/26/2026, 5:49:18 PM11 trades$3051 min
4/17/2026, 8:03:38 AM20 trades$28312 min
5/10/2026, 5:18:43 PM4 trades$2721 min
5/14/2026, 12:18:38 AM5 trades$2653 min
5/12/2026, 1:24:21 PM4 trades$2603 min
5/12/2026, 9:09:15 AM4 trades$2451 min
5/7/2026, 10:43:44 AM3 trades$2344 min
5/11/2026, 4:06:27 AM3 trades$2311 min
5/10/2026, 1:26:32 PM7 trades$2230 min
5/10/2026, 8:29:12 AM3 trades$2184 min
5/13/2026, 5:04:08 PM5 trades$1851 min
5/11/2026, 6:03:17 PM3 trades$1710 min
5/12/2026, 6:17:17 AM3 trades$1642 min
5/10/2026, 5:06:05 AM6 trades$1611 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-16
04-21
04-26
05-02
05-08
05-13
05-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.68/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L92.5 / M1.2 / H6.3