@GingerPhil

#3,040,05331

0x13616c1aed788c531e4d3b9eda22dc45fc5a8de1

~102d· 191 markets · 917 tradesVol: $276,5542026-08-02 06:37:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (109/182)14.9/20
0.80x (win $11,280 / loss $14,100)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5440/15
Sortino -1.8710/10
$-0.0305 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 391 (182 markets)10/10
33/61 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 2047% of peak ($4,799 / $234)0/10

Badges

3
Whale
$92,558 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,633,162$-5,195Vol: $171,622
CRYPTO#22,966$1,671Vol: $54,187
SPORTS#1,844,763$-1,580Vol: $31,126
🎭 CULTURE#790,876$-164Vol: $6,871
🌤️ WEATHER#292,663$-299Vol: $4,915
📈 ECONOMICS#5,462$395Vol: $3,870
💻 TECH#8,832$47Vol: $848
📢 MENTIONS#126,481$-9Vol: $230
💰 FINANCE#75,315$5Vol: $121

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,079
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$276,554
Total Redeem
$1,877
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
191
total markets
Trades
420B / 497S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~102d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $0
Week
$-96
Vol: $0
Month
$-51
Vol: $0
All Time
$-5,079
Vol: $276,554

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
109W / 73L events
Realized PnL
$-5,079
Win Rate
60%
109W / 73L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$103
Avg Loss
$-193

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,814 (0.5540694595121413% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$1,006
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$1,005
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$803
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$680
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$637
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$501
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?$499
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$380
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$362
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?$276

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-2,105
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-1,519
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-1,388
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?$-1,204
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$-607
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-603
Stetson Hatters vs. North Alabama Lions$-581
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-470
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$-440
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?$-438

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.080
Sortino
-0.080
HHI
278
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.5%
Top-5 markets
30.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 168s — normal for humanCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.49
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.1%
Mid (20-55c)29.3%
High (>55c)52.6%

Sessions

#12
4/16/2026, 10:31:16 AM29 trades$10,7557 min
6/15/2026, 8:16:15 AM21 trades$6,8893 min
4/20/2026, 12:48:18 AM12 trades$5,8554 min
6/17/2026, 4:09:14 PM61 trades$5,6104 min
5/6/2026, 8:42:43 PM6 trades$5,0702 min
6/10/2026, 9:13:18 AM52 trades$4,4351 min
4/14/2026, 7:40:05 AM26 trades$4,3770 min
3/27/2026, 9:52:55 AM3 trades$4,3173 min
4/14/2026, 7:46:03 AM12 trades$4,2860 min
4/13/2026, 10:50:35 PM9 trades$4,2071 min
3/24/2026, 1:02:15 AM1 trades$3,6050 min
4/13/2026, 10:14:57 PM5 trades$3,4630 min
4/30/2026, 4:51:06 AM2 trades$3,2790 min
4/12/2026, 6:42:09 PM20 trades$2,8902 min
2/15/2026, 2:46:25 PM2 trades$2,7960 min
3/27/2026, 1:09:55 PM3 trades$2,7612 min
6/18/2026, 11:29:43 AM23 trades$2,7491 min
4/17/2026, 8:50:16 AM16 trades$2,5351 min
6/1/2026, 5:03:26 PM4 trades$2,3540 min
1/29/2026, 5:45:46 PM1 trades$2,1600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
07-26
11-23
12-23
02-20
04-15
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 301 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.49/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.1 / M29.3 / H52.6