@TonyDF

#514,57525

0x137843431977ad4222ae7515d614c0b7a449fc79

~23d· 41 markets · 134 tradesVol: $15,6812026-08-02 05:25:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (18/35)10.7/20
0.65x (win $47 / loss $73)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3520/15
Sortino -1.5200/10
$-0.0023 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1248 (35 markets)6.3/10
13/21 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 206% of peak ($71 / $34)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+8
Consistent
13/21 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,099,114$-4Vol: $7,831
SPORTS#223,439$22Vol: $2,675
💻 TECH#192,494$-1Vol: $2,234
📈 ECONOMICS#465,648$-1Vol: $1,914
💰 FINANCE#404,240$-0Vol: $563
🎭 CULTURE#670,281$-8Vol: $239
CRYPTO#450,101$1Vol: $225

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,681
Total Redeem
$17
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
65B / 69S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$8
Vol: $15,681

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
18W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$8
Win Rate
51%
18W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $47 (5.580335731414868% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?$36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$6
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$5
Will XRP dip to $1.20 January 26-1?$0
Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in November?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 5-11?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0
Will Solana dip to $80 in June?$0

Top Losers

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5$-71
Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$-0
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$-0
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$-0
Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$-0
Will Mattias Skjelmose win the Tour de France 2025?$-0
Will Matteo Jorgenson win the Tour de France 2025?$-0
Will Sundowns FC win the FIFA Club World Cup?$-0
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$-0
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.069
Sortino
-0.046
HHI
522
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17%
Top-5 markets
38.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
34s
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
23
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.63
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)4.6%
High (>55c)95.4%

Sessions

#12
7/13/2026, 7:10:25 AM22 trades$4,1314 min
7/16/2026, 11:56:01 AM14 trades$3,5386 min
7/8/2026, 11:23:08 AM21 trades$1,8651 min
6/17/2025, 2:25:47 AM10 trades$1,2873 min
6/9/2025, 12:10:24 PM8 trades$1,2843 min
6/3/2025, 7:06:38 AM8 trades$8683 min
6/11/2026, 11:49:24 AM7 trades$2563 min
10/25/2025, 2:14:31 AM2 trades$1101 min
11/5/2025, 9:22:35 AM5 trades$1102 min
5/22/2026, 12:25:09 PM6 trades$1082 min
12/8/2025, 3:11:07 AM5 trades$1022 min
8/29/2025, 12:38:19 PM5 trades$1013 min
9/25/2025, 3:24:00 AM2 trades$960 min
3/14/2026, 5:45:31 AM3 trades$901 min
1/31/2026, 6:27:32 AM1 trades$560 min
5/13/2026, 7:31:46 AM5 trades$431 min
4/20/2026, 8:37:46 AM4 trades$261 min
1/7/2026, 8:36:29 AM1 trades$170 min
3/25/2026, 2:34:27 AM1 trades$170 min
7/14/2025, 12:40:52 PM1 trades$130 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
07-14
08-29
12-01
01-31
05-13
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M4.6 / H95.4