@0x138ff8DDa951B1e70713044D3774235fCaEa657E-1776513397474
#3,063,24200x138ff8dda951b1e70713044d3774235fcaea657e
~16d· 19 markets · 254 tradesVol: $3,148,8582026-08-02 05:23:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
21% (4/19)0/20
0.70x (win $30,037 / loss $42,791)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9320/15
Sortino -4.5500/10
$-0.2862 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4306 (19 markets)0/10
4/14 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 559% of peak ($15,533 / $2,779)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,734$-9,298Vol: $2,578,909
⚽ SPORTS#1,876,455$-10,817Vol: $569,949
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-20,115
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,148,858
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
34B / 220S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
21%
4W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-20,115
Win Rate
21%
4W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$7,509
Avg Loss
$-2,853
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29,642 (1.4736093262574415% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$12,783
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$12,160
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?$4,699
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$395
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-11,358
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?$-10,688
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?$-7,936
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5$-3,844
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-2,012
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?$-1,988
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $-1,946
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$-1,786
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-529
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-294
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.198
Sortino
-0.227
HHI
1170
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.286
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.1%
Top-5 markets
68.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.5h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.4
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10756s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.37
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)47.1%
Mid (20-55c)23.5%
High (>55c)29.4%
Sessions
#126/19/2026, 8:40:43 AM11 trades$973,0000 min
6/16/2026, 7:52:49 AM6 trades$503,0000 min
6/15/2026, 9:26:57 PM13 trades$36,3430 min
6/13/2026, 10:02:21 PM2 trades$20,5540 min
6/14/2026, 8:26:42 PM38 trades$19,5410 min
6/13/2026, 9:19:30 PM4 trades$16,6760 min
6/15/2026, 9:00:36 AM8 trades$15,4300 min
5/4/2026, 8:17:58 PM22 trades$12,5630 min
6/15/2026, 8:28:31 AM20 trades$9,9340 min
7/13/2026, 3:32:52 PM9 trades$8,8010 min
4/18/2026, 12:19:14 PM6 trades$7,6320 min
6/13/2026, 6:01:37 PM4 trades$7,6060 min
6/30/2026, 9:22:43 AM16 trades$7,5620 min
6/13/2026, 9:14:40 AM10 trades$6,8811 min
6/15/2026, 11:59:52 AM16 trades$6,8400 min
5/13/2026, 7:42:06 PM7 trades$3,6040 min
5/13/2026, 3:34:44 PM15 trades$3,3580 min
6/14/2026, 6:32:19 AM2 trades$3,1460 min
5/26/2026, 9:49:46 PM8 trades$2,0650 min
6/17/2026, 3:18:59 PM2 trades$2,0100 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-18
05-13
05-25
06-13
06-15
06-17
06-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
86.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.37/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.1 / M23.5 / H29.4