@kitethefly

#514,46930

0x13c5c91c0f4859bcb7056ce65941a38f63b1bd82

~40d· 29 markets · 269 tradesVol: $30,6152026-08-02 05:20:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (21/25)20/20
0.02x (win $26 / loss $1,199)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8930/15
Sortino -4.7410/10
$-0.0671 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2726 (25 markets)0/10
13/16 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 52503% of peak ($1,197 / $2)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+8
DCA Master
Avg 10.4 entries/market
Consistent
13/16 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#196,190$7Vol: $20,572
💰 FINANCE#330,841$-0Vol: $6,652
🌤️ WEATHER#76,999$0Vol: $2,446
📈 ECONOMICS#111,200$1Vol: $433
CRYPTO#426,411$1Vol: $379
🎭 CULTURE#489,443$-1Vol: $72
💻 TECH#118,606$0Vol: $61

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,615
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
163B / 106S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $90
All Time
$8
Vol: $30,615

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
21W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$8
Win Rate
84%
21W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-300

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23 (2.8011976047904192% of PnL)

Top Winners

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$3
Iran leadership change by March 31?$2
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?$0
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$0

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,161
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$-15
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.248
Sortino
-0.108
HHI
2507
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.067
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40.5%
Top-5 markets
94.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1404s — normal for humanCV 3.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.36
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.7%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)96.3%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 1:45:37 AM12 trades$9,2862 min
4/7/2026, 8:27:47 AM1 trades$5,9580 min
4/5/2026, 11:09:07 AM1 trades$3,4930 min
4/4/2026, 7:09:25 PM1 trades$2,8200 min
4/11/2026, 3:37:35 AM1 trades$1,6930 min
4/7/2026, 2:05:39 AM2 trades$1,3660 min
4/7/2026, 4:02:55 AM1 trades$9800 min
4/7/2026, 2:24:49 AM2 trades$9791 min
4/7/2026, 3:19:55 AM1 trades$9790 min
4/11/2026, 2:12:55 AM2 trades$7300 min
4/7/2026, 2:13:27 AM3 trades$5660 min
4/7/2026, 4:08:49 AM1 trades$4700 min
5/29/2026, 6:48:25 PM2 trades$1801 min
4/7/2026, 12:30:27 PM1 trades$1310 min
6/27/2026, 3:52:04 PM1 trades$910 min
5/18/2026, 4:32:31 PM2 trades$910 min
6/24/2026, 4:12:44 PM1 trades$910 min
6/24/2026, 5:23:20 PM1 trades$910 min
6/16/2026, 3:08:34 PM1 trades$910 min
6/6/2026, 1:19:37 PM1 trades$910 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-19
02-21
02-24
02-26
03-12
03-25
04-07
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.7 / M0 / H96.3