@carla46

#2,024,70738

0x13fc962be1332734b13a36092d285e8be8f130e8

~23d· 32 markets · 67 tradesVol: $24,207 @JoseAlejan1bba2026-08-02 04:12:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (16/30)11.7/20
1.08x (win $36 / loss $33)3.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.5129.6/15
Sortino 1.02010/10
$+0.0001 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4935 (30 markets)0/10
10/23 profitable days (43%)3.4/10
Max DD 533% of peak ($19 / $3)0/10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-18
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,207
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
37B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
16W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-18
Win Rate
53%
16W / 14L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23 (1.3354249857387335% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$18
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$3
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$3
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-31?$2
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?$2
FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 3.5$2
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-03?$2
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11?$1
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?$1
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$1

Top Losers

Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?$-9
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?$-3
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$-3
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)$-3
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-3
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3
Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?$-2
Will CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC end in a draw?$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19?$-1
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in April?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.026
Sortino
0.055
HHI
1013
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.8%
Top-5 markets
42.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 2.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.97
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.7%
Mid (20-55c)21.6%
High (>55c)75.7%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 5:45:11 AM10 trades$2,9200 min
7/3/2026, 6:43:16 AM11 trades$2,9200 min
7/3/2026, 7:05:32 AM2 trades$2,9170 min
7/3/2026, 7:58:38 AM2 trades$2,9170 min
7/3/2026, 3:50:49 AM2 trades$2,8940 min
7/3/2026, 4:45:25 AM2 trades$2,8940 min
2/6/2026, 6:22:09 PM1 trades$2,7610 min
2/6/2026, 8:12:25 PM1 trades$2,7590 min
4/10/2026, 12:29:07 AM4 trades$131 min
5/28/2026, 10:15:44 AM6 trades$73 min
3/12/2026, 7:44:07 PM2 trades$71 min
12/10/2025, 8:59:40 AM2 trades$61 min
1/31/2026, 1:47:28 AM2 trades$51 min
1/22/2026, 7:52:22 AM1 trades$50 min
2/21/2026, 10:19:34 AM2 trades$41 min
4/23/2026, 7:00:44 PM2 trades$40 min
12/31/2025, 10:30:01 PM1 trades$40 min
12/24/2025, 8:35:57 PM1 trades$30 min
12/1/2025, 9:44:06 PM2 trades$31 min
5/14/2026, 5:18:33 AM2 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-21
12-01
12-24
01-22
02-12
04-10
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 82 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.7 / M21.6 / H75.7