@Mjpaterson3
#86,330800x146ad5135659241a779778181233e93fb8bd9ced
~13d· 51 markets · 501 tradesVol: $94,0442026-08-02 08:01:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (24/51)8.5/20
1.84x (win $12,406 / loss $6,758)12.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.46015/15
Sortino 17.21710/10
$+0.2477 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 360 (51 markets)10/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($1,599 / $6,261)8.9/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+898
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 9.8 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
2⚽ SPORTS#37,636$1,016Vol: $91,892
🏛️ POLITICS#1,534,547$-118Vol: $2,153
Overview
#1Net PnL
$898
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$94,044
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
163B / 338S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
24W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$898
Win Rate
47%
24W / 27L
Profit Factor
1.84x
Avg Win
$517
Avg Loss
$-260
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,615 (5.13943801579258% of PnL)
Top Winners
Spread: England (-1.5)$2,008
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$1,327
Spread: Japan (-2.5)$1,280
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$939
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$933
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$860
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$809
Spread: France (-1.5)$800
Spread: England (-1.5)$761
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$570
Top Losers
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)$-1,440
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 12.5 Total Corners$-1,159
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-405
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$-400
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-370
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)$-316
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?$-300
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-237
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-217
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5$-202
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.324
Sortino
0.888
HHI
406
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.248
Kelly %
9.4%
Half-Kelly
4.7%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
31.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.5m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.82
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)26.4%
Mid (20-55c)33.7%
High (>55c)39.9%
Sessions
#126/19/2026, 11:51:35 PM33 trades$5,81511 min
6/27/2026, 9:43:34 PM16 trades$3,4141 min
6/23/2026, 9:52:59 PM29 trades$2,3876 min
6/21/2026, 10:24:17 PM18 trades$2,3195 min
6/19/2026, 12:03:14 AM7 trades$2,2060 min
6/21/2026, 5:42:32 AM4 trades$2,1261 min
6/23/2026, 9:38:37 PM23 trades$2,0389 min
4/12/2026, 8:14:59 PM19 trades$1,8509 min
6/28/2026, 1:26:08 AM6 trades$1,7871 min
6/17/2026, 6:22:13 PM4 trades$1,7385 min
4/12/2026, 9:05:15 PM36 trades$1,6206 min
6/23/2026, 12:42:08 PM6 trades$1,3881 min
6/28/2026, 1:48:43 AM2 trades$1,3700 min
6/17/2026, 10:13:26 PM2 trades$1,3320 min
6/23/2026, 9:08:59 PM16 trades$1,1208 min
6/19/2026, 10:08:17 PM11 trades$1,0655 min
6/28/2026, 2:22:23 AM2 trades$1,0200 min
6/21/2026, 1:57:49 AM4 trades$1,0160 min
4/12/2026, 6:26:15 PM9 trades$9930 min
4/12/2026, 8:07:11 PM6 trades$9920 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
06-16
06-18
06-20
06-23
06-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.82/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.4 / M33.7 / H39.9