@Ag500k

#3,049,38940

0x161266ecc74ef88b600c35d468a3ac4c01d47287

~63d· 116 markets · 4455 tradesVol: $852,2862026-08-02 07:44:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (97/116)20/20
0.60x (win $24,969 / loss $41,489)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3260/15
Sortino -2.4090/10
$-0.0333 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 161 (116 markets)10/10
42/51 profitable days (82%)10/10
Max DD 898% of peak ($23,843 / $2,654)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 84%
DCA Master
Avg 38.4 entries/market
Whale
$496,285 invested
Consistent
42/51 profitable days
High Roller
$6,204/day
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#815,421$-5,893Vol: $823,978
CRYPTO#1,634,665$-1,571Vol: $23,882
🌤️ WEATHER#263,217$-23Vol: $2,330
SPORTS#152,501$60Vol: $2,096

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,427
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$852,286
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
1415B / 3040S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
97W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-7,427
Win Rate
84%
97W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$257
Avg Loss
$-2,441

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,344 (0.584936145575969% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1,503
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?$1,452
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1,389
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$1,280
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$1,094
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1,072
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$858
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26?$766
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$730
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$723

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-16,361
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-6,864
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-4,544
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-4,018
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-3,652
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-1,925
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-1,864
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-1,109
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 25?$-600
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.121
Sortino
-0.069
HHI
167
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
15%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
55.7
Very active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
49.7m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock56 trades/day — mass trading1.4 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
38.41
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)0.7%
High (>55c)99.2%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 12:02:46 PM23 trades$14,9963 min
6/19/2026, 2:43:07 PM90 trades$13,6758 min
6/12/2026, 3:13:03 PM38 trades$12,0269 min
6/5/2026, 2:31:03 PM21 trades$11,3178 min
5/13/2026, 1:41:53 PM54 trades$10,2837 min
6/11/2026, 2:22:36 AM10 trades$9,2284 min
6/16/2026, 3:30:49 PM30 trades$9,1084 min
6/15/2026, 2:24:40 PM175 trades$8,18321 min
6/16/2026, 7:08:54 AM13 trades$8,0631 min
7/16/2026, 11:07:25 PM200 trades$7,63314 min
5/9/2026, 2:49:31 AM24 trades$7,6192 min
6/9/2026, 3:45:06 PM19 trades$7,3628 min
5/15/2026, 3:34:06 PM1 trades$7,3490 min
6/17/2026, 3:41:14 PM21 trades$7,3123 min
6/23/2026, 2:30:55 PM7 trades$6,8620 min
5/22/2026, 7:36:52 AM37 trades$6,69217 min
6/9/2026, 2:35:51 PM12 trades$6,4329 min
5/10/2026, 8:09:20 AM54 trades$6,06711 min
5/12/2026, 5:44:09 AM13 trades$5,9798 min
5/15/2026, 7:07:10 PM20 trades$5,7327 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-04
05-12
05-30
06-13
06-23
07-06
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 38.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.1 / M0.7 / H99.2