@0x16C7F9b7B239C980929A2AA5d53B23c5Cac03931-1769017422369

#3,070,76218

0x16c7f9b7b239c980929a2aa5d53b23c5cac03931

~113d· 138 markets · 3903 tradesVol: $3,031,4042026-08-02 07:44:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (52/138)3.8/20
0.52x (win $336,087 / loss $651,348)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3190/15
Sortino -3.2930/10
$-0.3291 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 575 (138 markets)9.6/10
21/44 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 758% of peak ($363,199 / $47,938)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Whale
$958,034 invested
High Roller
$5,570/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
💰 FINANCE#657,497$-157,280Vol: $1,834,782
SPORTS#1,881,467$-61,341Vol: $1,196,621

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-218,621
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,031,404
Total Redeem
$9,724
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
138
total markets
Trades
1608B / 2295S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~113d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
52W / 86L events
Realized PnL
$-218,621
Win Rate
38%
52W / 86L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$6,463
Avg Loss
$-7,663

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $147,435 (0.674385288006079% of PnL)

Top Winners

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$96,402
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$33,680
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)$17,352
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)$15,712
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Neither team to score first?$14,241
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$13,873
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$13,117
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5$9,986
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$7,176
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$7,012

Top Losers

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$-122,266
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$-114,255
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$-111,777
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$-42,155
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Senegal?$-19,873
Spread: France (-1.5)$-19,456
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5$-19,137
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)$-14,400
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5$-13,371
Spread: Norway (-1.5)$-12,901

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.172
Sortino
-0.126
HHI
562
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.329
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
48.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
44.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 3.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency0.8 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.28
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.2%
Mid (20-55c)27.2%
High (>55c)40.5%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 5:46:14 PM145 trades$234,2945 min
6/8/2026, 11:11:54 AM113 trades$163,2561 min
5/23/2026, 4:16:02 PM88 trades$92,7772 min
6/23/2026, 10:01:46 PM123 trades$89,2829 min
6/5/2026, 7:14:46 AM101 trades$78,7282 min
6/21/2026, 6:11:17 PM69 trades$66,6845 min
4/22/2026, 4:01:08 PM30 trades$60,0793 min
6/9/2026, 8:09:48 PM51 trades$54,3912 min
6/8/2026, 1:14:42 PM19 trades$49,3150 min
6/12/2026, 3:59:45 PM84 trades$45,53316 min
6/6/2026, 1:26:58 PM62 trades$42,8961 min
6/21/2026, 6:21:43 PM35 trades$42,5104 min
6/25/2026, 9:56:59 AM96 trades$42,3534 min
5/21/2026, 5:32:28 PM25 trades$39,8731 min
6/24/2026, 7:51:35 PM53 trades$33,0002 min
6/14/2026, 6:44:55 PM2 trades$32,0000 min
5/22/2026, 5:08:49 AM25 trades$29,9741 min
5/19/2026, 2:37:54 AM39 trades$28,6681 min
4/1/2026, 4:32:05 AM37 trades$27,9442 min
4/8/2026, 6:34:17 PM40 trades$27,9425 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
02-16
03-15
04-22
05-28
06-16
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.2 / M27.2 / H40.5