@0x16FC38d92F93ea2453314939953af514aCc5B16B-1780607867018

#2,807,6590

0x16fc38d92f93ea2453314939953af514acc5b16b

~16d· 21 markets · 100 tradesVol: $163,0072026-08-02 05:12:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (2/20)0/20
0.55x (win $302 / loss $544)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.8910/15
Sortino -5.1810/10
$-0.4467 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4519 (20 markets)0/10
2/15 profitable days (13%)0/10
Max DD 218% of peak ($448 / $206)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,567,759$-222Vol: $144,034
💰 FINANCE#635,217$-125Vol: $11,005
SPORTS#1,442,932$-18Vol: $7,853
🌤️ WEATHER#227,929$-5Vol: $96
🎭 CULTURE#437,844$-0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-371
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$163,007
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
28B / 72S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-371
Vol: $163,007

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
2W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-371
Win Rate
10%
2W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$151
Avg Loss
$-39

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $302 (0.8136800086309203% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Nuno Mendes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$168
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?$134

Top Losers

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$-149
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-138
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$-86
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?$-34
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 0 Qatar?$-30
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?$-30
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$-20
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?$-19
Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.197
Sortino
-0.313
HHI
1318
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.455
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.2%
Top-5 markets
69.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
21
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 386s — normal for humanCV 0.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.9
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)82.1%
Mid (20-55c)10.7%
High (>55c)7.1%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 1:14:02 PM2 trades$70,0000 min
6/21/2026, 4:03:22 PM2 trades$50,0000 min
6/21/2026, 5:51:46 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/20/2026, 12:48:53 PM8 trades$9,0795 min
6/25/2026, 6:36:14 PM7 trades$4,4000 min
6/30/2026, 7:38:20 PM8 trades$1,3460 min
6/16/2026, 2:04:49 PM2 trades$4760 min
6/27/2026, 9:18:43 PM6 trades$3640 min
6/26/2026, 12:16:49 PM6 trades$2090 min
6/24/2026, 6:57:32 PM2 trades$1670 min
6/15/2026, 10:26:21 AM9 trades$1582 min
6/5/2026, 5:48:09 PM4 trades$1202 min
6/17/2026, 4:38:43 PM2 trades$1150 min
6/8/2026, 11:44:10 AM2 trades$1060 min
6/14/2026, 3:11:46 PM16 trades$942 min
6/12/2026, 1:05:49 PM4 trades$700 min
6/8/2026, 12:09:30 PM8 trades$694 min
7/19/2026, 9:43:01 PM2 trades$40 min
7/19/2026, 9:49:03 PM2 trades$40 min
6/21/2026, 3:56:56 PM2 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-05
06-12
06-15
06-17
06-21
06-25
06-29
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.9/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.1 / M10.7 / H7.1