PolyPlayerMADMAN

@PolyPlayerMADMAN

#3,064,6359

0x174b27fef5e1c06ed52c1ddff29720b23cb65a55

~90d· 113 markets · 4014 tradesVol: $939,7092026-08-02 07:22:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (24/89)0/20
0.18x (win $9,567 / loss $53,910)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.2850/15
Sortino -6.8660/10
$-0.1691 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 775 (89 markets)8.6/10
12/40 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 9033% of peak ($44,840 / $496)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
Whale
$262,205 invested
High Roller
$1,186/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,737$-23,868Vol: $850,399
CRYPTO#1,616,674$-1,032Vol: $82,126
SPORTS#45,100$746Vol: $3,029
💰 FINANCE#536,151$-4Vol: $2,857
📈 ECONOMICS#22,898$32Vol: $1,222
📢 MENTIONS#76,698$-1Vol: $76

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-24,128
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$939,709
Total Redeem
$505
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
113
total markets
Trades
1422B / 2592S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~90d

Periods

#2
Today
$-344
Vol: $0
Week
$-481
Vol: $0
Month
$-712
Vol: $38,344
All Time
$-24,128
Vol: $939,709

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
24W / 65L events
Realized PnL
$-24,128
Win Rate
27%
24W / 65L
Profit Factor
0.18x
Avg Win
$399
Avg Loss
$-856

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,126 (0.25390326945832314% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$2,350
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$2,312
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$1,465
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$1,085
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$727
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$497
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$292
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$168
Iran leadership change by March 13?$128
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$99

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$-11,269
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-9,206
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-7,820
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$-3,388
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-2,665
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-2,235
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-2,133
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$-2,074
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-1,699
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$-1,194

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.377
Sortino
-0.332
HHI
546
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.191
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.9%
Top-5 markets
43.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
30.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 164s — normal for humanCV 2.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active0.5 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
33.8
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.1%
Mid (20-55c)30.8%
High (>55c)29.1%

Sessions

#12
4/17/2026, 10:16:28 AM88 trades$38,5467 min
8/1/2026, 11:06:54 PM109 trades$28,3298 min
4/20/2026, 4:31:24 PM61 trades$23,4640 min
4/5/2026, 12:59:07 PM46 trades$20,8202 min
4/17/2026, 12:50:02 PM61 trades$16,2903 min
6/9/2026, 2:46:25 PM29 trades$14,8379 min
4/6/2026, 12:38:23 PM50 trades$13,2903 min
4/9/2026, 3:33:09 PM32 trades$11,5740 min
6/8/2026, 2:06:49 AM27 trades$10,85510 min
4/10/2026, 5:01:31 PM17 trades$10,3092 min
3/13/2026, 3:16:11 AM13 trades$8,81113 min
4/20/2026, 2:13:18 AM61 trades$8,5383 min
4/7/2026, 10:48:57 PM63 trades$8,3474 min
4/17/2026, 5:35:02 PM23 trades$7,9184 min
2/27/2026, 7:14:07 AM1 trades$7,3140 min
7/8/2026, 11:09:46 PM65 trades$6,9583 min
4/20/2026, 2:54:48 PM29 trades$6,8240 min
4/9/2026, 4:56:01 PM6 trades$6,6501 min
4/8/2026, 8:28:57 AM22 trades$6,3423 min
2/20/2026, 1:29:54 PM1 trades$6,2290 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-24
02-27
03-14
04-07
05-04
06-11
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 149 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 33.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.1 / M30.8 / H29.1