@peoplearestrange

#1,13948

0x182bd8bf2f11a572c4ec686aae3a0d919adcf3d3

~49d· 40 markets · 2801 tradesVol: $3,849,4912026-08-02 05:18:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (18/38)8.7/20
1.28x (win $374,438 / loss $293,335)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.17015/15
Sortino 1.74510/10
$+0.0317 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 2428 (38 markets)0.4/10
11/20 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 233% of peak ($193,475 / $83,033)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+178,096
DCA Master
Avg 72.1 entries/market
Whale
$2,561,747 invested
High Roller
$3,824/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
📈 ECONOMICS#43$136,834Vol: $1,896,136
🏛️ POLITICS#701$72,339Vol: $1,246,740
CRYPTO#4,201$11,477Vol: $146,698
📢 MENTIONS#176,285$-4,215Vol: $100,410
SPORTS#1,879,349$-21,313Vol: $50,236

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$178,096
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,849,491
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
1574B / 1227S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$178,096
Vol: $3,849,491

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
18W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$178,096
Win Rate
47%
18W / 20L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$20,802
Avg Loss
$-17,255

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $303,522 (1.704262291363214% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$204,829
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$64,192
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$34,501
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$34,409
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$8,363
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$7,831
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6,422
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4,744
Will Donald Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his North Carolina rally?$3,809
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$3,646

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-189,166
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-39,910
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-18,069
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$-17,705
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner$-6,500
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner$-4,410
Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his North Carolina rally?$-3,073
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$-2,917
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-2,845
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-1,930

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.060
Sortino
0.066
HHI
2362
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41%
Top-5 markets
88.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
16.9m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
25.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 79s — normal for humanCV 4.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
72.08
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.8%
Mid (20-55c)10%
High (>55c)85.2%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 12:38:58 PM89 trades$189,18959 min
7/5/2026, 3:57:49 AM27 trades$152,1300 min
7/7/2026, 9:47:41 PM8 trades$131,6380 min
6/24/2026, 2:11:02 AM103 trades$120,68532 min
5/25/2026, 11:37:22 AM28 trades$110,2011 min
6/5/2026, 6:26:00 AM46 trades$97,4430 min
5/22/2026, 6:11:04 AM5 trades$95,4280 min
5/11/2026, 12:23:27 PM2 trades$94,3800 min
6/29/2026, 10:08:38 PM23 trades$92,3741 min
7/4/2026, 2:55:37 PM54 trades$84,7744 min
6/15/2026, 1:25:51 AM158 trades$82,90231 min
5/27/2026, 12:06:42 AM28 trades$82,3200 min
6/30/2026, 11:56:34 AM1 trades$75,7660 min
6/4/2026, 11:56:28 AM34 trades$67,8410 min
6/11/2026, 11:05:15 PM54 trades$67,60816 min
6/4/2026, 11:02:12 PM25 trades$66,5911 min
5/12/2026, 11:44:47 PM24 trades$63,2630 min
5/29/2026, 2:33:44 PM1 trades$58,1700 min
5/24/2026, 6:10:05 AM18 trades$54,2803 min
6/4/2026, 10:53:43 PM25 trades$50,7010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-10
09-21
10-30
02-13
05-28
06-12
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 228 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 72.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.8 / M10 / H85.2