@manuelio
#2,928,122270x19192f8d5e526a490e6733572d17fca39f071e16
~40d· 1543 markets · 3178 tradesVol: $36,1742026-08-02 10:30:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
63% (947/1515)16.3/20
0.56x (win $1,476 / loss $2,648)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.6910/15
Sortino -7.1530/10
$-0.1437 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 100 (1515 markets)10/10
12/38 profitable days (32%)0.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,174 / $0)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 63%
Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders
Categories
3⚽ SPORTS#1,819,029$-850Vol: $24,992
🏛️ POLITICS#1,424,484$-32Vol: $2,476
₿ CRYPTO#1,543,851$-231Vol: $700
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,037
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,174
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1543
total markets
Trades
2804B / 374S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
63%
947W / 568L events
Realized PnL
$-1,037
Win Rate
63%
947W / 568L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-5
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $196 (0.18920430439310376% of PnL)
Top Winners
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner$98
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?$71
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?$28
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?$24
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$19
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?$12
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia$11
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$10
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5$10
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5$9
Top Losers
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli$-325
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-231
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs$-127
ITF Corroios-Seixal: Gabriela Andrea Knutson vs Han Shi$-69
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$-55
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?$-41
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$-41
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-40
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-39
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?$-31
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.397
Sortino
-0.347
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.146
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
14%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
66.2
Very active
Markets / Day
32.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.8m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.1
Bot Detection
#670
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 139s — normal for humanCV 2.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock66 trades/day — mass trading32 markets/day — mass coverage88% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.06
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)62.7%
High (>55c)34.7%
Sessions
#125/29/2026, 4:58:46 AM90 trades$1,14914 min
5/27/2026, 7:29:48 PM2 trades$4990 min
5/27/2026, 9:10:41 PM45 trades$4516 min
5/27/2026, 2:23:45 PM2 trades$4000 min
6/3/2026, 3:51:04 PM38 trades$3013 min
6/10/2026, 3:59:48 PM108 trades$25820 min
7/6/2026, 12:49:44 PM82 trades$22227 min
5/27/2026, 9:21:39 PM18 trades$1770 min
7/8/2026, 9:03:04 AM65 trades$16416 min
5/27/2026, 6:30:20 PM4 trades$1521 min
6/13/2026, 8:04:25 PM51 trades$11059 min
6/10/2026, 6:18:25 PM45 trades$10816 min
7/6/2026, 1:58:25 PM39 trades$10713 min
5/27/2026, 7:19:18 PM1 trades$650 min
5/27/2026, 5:26:40 PM1 trades$620 min
6/11/2026, 9:18:43 AM27 trades$6230 min
5/27/2026, 9:38:41 PM9 trades$590 min
6/11/2026, 8:51:49 AM28 trades$5922 min
6/24/2026, 7:18:59 PM19 trades$515 min
6/10/2026, 7:51:24 PM24 trades$5126 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-27
06-12
06-18
06-24
06-30
07-06
07-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.06/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L2.6 / M62.7 / H34.7