@0x1982afc07ca8c7203436bae36c84efd44bfdc3e5
240x1982afc07ca8c7203436bae36c84efd44bfdc3e5
~29d· 39 markets · 111 trades2026-08-02 05:18:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
72% (28/39)20/20
0.01x (win $6 / loss $486)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.9820/15
Sortino -6.5580/10
$-0.8366 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4746 (39 markets)0/10
5/11 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 320253% of peak ($480 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Sniper
Win rate 72%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-431
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$574
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
82B / 29S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
72%
28W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-431
Win Rate
72%
28W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-69
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4 (0.00996731647388795% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$0
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$0
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$0
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?$0
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$0
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$0
Top Losers
Steelers vs. Bears$-420
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-39
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$-14
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-6
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$-3
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-3
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.348
Sortino
-0.262
HHI
5540
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.837
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
73.1%
Top-5 markets
91.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
43
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 6.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.85
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.9%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)81.7%
Sessions
#1211/23/2025, 1:15:11 PM1 trades$4200 min
5/25/2026, 6:25:20 PM5 trades$190 min
5/27/2026, 7:45:52 PM6 trades$180 min
5/31/2026, 8:51:00 AM8 trades$180 min
11/9/2025, 8:24:27 PM10 trades$132 min
12/16/2025, 11:16:09 AM9 trades$112 min
1/13/2026, 10:14:47 AM8 trades$112 min
5/28/2026, 5:00:57 PM2 trades$91 min
6/3/2026, 5:24:54 PM2 trades$90 min
6/1/2026, 7:55:03 PM2 trades$90 min
6/4/2026, 3:47:19 PM3 trades$90 min
7/5/2026, 12:04:32 PM2 trades$90 min
6/5/2026, 2:29:46 PM2 trades$80 min
6/6/2026, 11:18:16 AM2 trades$80 min
10/26/2025, 5:18:37 PM6 trades$72 min
6/12/2026, 8:52:31 PM6 trades$72 min
5/31/2026, 5:42:34 PM2 trades$51 min
3/31/2025, 4:02:47 PM4 trades$51 min
3/31/2026, 2:22:47 PM4 trades$51 min
6/3/2026, 7:54:42 PM1 trades$40 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-26
11-09
11-23
12-16
01-13
03-31
05-26
06-06
06-12
06-30
07-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 252 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.9 / M2.4 / H81.7