@orderfill

41

0x1a37856fb0abf370386466ac83b13e31e17b6984

~68d· 172 markets · 1099 trades2026-08-02 04:13:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (130/164)20/20
0.91x (win $7,752 / loss $8,541)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4540/15
Sortino -0.5160/10
$-0.0023 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 357 (164 markets)10/10
43/54 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 332% of peak ($6,420 / $1,934)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 79%
DCA Master
Avg 6.6 entries/market
Whale
$346,090 invested
Consistent
43/54 profitable days
High Roller
$1,436/day
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,287
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$346,090
Total Redeem
$18,903
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
172
total markets
Trades
560B / 539S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
130W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-1,287
Win Rate
79%
130W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-342

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,849 (1.4365509045292484% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$621
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$618
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$610
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$570
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?$452
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$352
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?$330
Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 in April?$315
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?$313
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$239

Top Losers

Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?$-2,222
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$-1,271
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$-1,121
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$-927
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-888
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$-833
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-400
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-193
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$-189
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$-129

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.024
Sortino
-0.015
HHI
222
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
25.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 152s — normal for humanCV 3.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.61
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.3%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)75%

Sessions

#12
2/17/2026, 11:12:43 PM2 trades$75,8383 min
2/7/2026, 7:05:09 PM1 trades$39,6000 min
2/20/2026, 4:44:44 AM4 trades$25,7135 min
12/30/2025, 5:50:35 AM7 trades$23,29910 min
11/27/2025, 9:24:49 PM1 trades$20,9150 min
12/1/2025, 7:34:06 AM2 trades$19,8000 min
4/14/2026, 6:15:18 PM48 trades$16,00311 min
4/25/2026, 2:11:40 AM28 trades$10,58012 min
10/30/2025, 8:26:09 AM2 trades$10,1082 min
6/22/2026, 7:06:41 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
10/30/2025, 11:31:23 PM1 trades$9,9900 min
10/30/2025, 2:52:03 AM2 trades$9,4420 min
11/3/2025, 3:34:43 AM1 trades$8,9320 min
1/29/2026, 10:46:54 PM4 trades$8,3623 min
1/29/2026, 10:37:26 PM3 trades$7,5762 min
4/24/2026, 7:31:48 PM10 trades$6,3531 min
6/14/2026, 5:47:13 AM4 trades$5,9726 min
5/17/2026, 11:55:50 PM2 trades$5,7610 min
5/14/2026, 7:51:27 PM15 trades$5,5025 min
4/24/2026, 7:25:54 PM4 trades$5,1510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-28
11-30
01-29
04-14
04-28
05-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 91 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.3 / M7.7 / H75