@theyreminerals
#21,422760x1a832a88c2cabc07e7bfec6b9b2a9d910ee87e38
~30d· 28 markets · 202 tradesVol: $32,9532026-08-03 02:23:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
44% (11/25)7/20
3.79x (win $8,337 / loss $2,199)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.98515/15
Sortino 33.19310/10
$+0.8812 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1060 (25 markets)7.2/10
7/19 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($890 / $7,026)10/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+6,172
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#5,442$6,228Vol: $31,600
🎭 CULTURE#758,299$-47Vol: $1,353
Overview
#1Net PnL
$6,181
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,953
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
72B / 130S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$25
Vol: $0
All Time
$6,181
Vol: $32,953
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
44%
11W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$6,172
Win Rate
44%
11W / 14L
Profit Factor
3.79x
Avg Win
$758
Avg Loss
$-157
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,134 (0.9937687435901175% of PnL)
Top Winners
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3,023
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$1,603
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$1,508
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?$918
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$733
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$370
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?$118
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$58
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$4
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$3
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-608
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?$-315
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-200
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?$-172
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-164
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-149
Kash Patel out by April 30?$-135
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$-117
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-80
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?$-75
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.203
Sortino
1.874
HHI
878
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.919
Kelly %
32.7%
Half-Kelly
16.4%
Top-1 market
23.5%
Top-5 markets
49.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 206s — normal for humanCV 1.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.64
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)20.8%
Mid (20-55c)36.1%
High (>55c)43.1%
Sessions
#124/21/2026, 5:21:32 PM2 trades$1,3830 min
4/16/2026, 8:31:16 PM19 trades$1,0080 min
4/23/2026, 4:42:34 AM5 trades$8602 min
4/22/2026, 10:21:14 PM2 trades$8000 min
2/28/2026, 4:14:43 AM5 trades$78511 min
3/13/2026, 1:55:55 PM2 trades$5781 min
4/18/2026, 1:52:00 AM13 trades$5051 min
5/16/2026, 9:53:36 PM5 trades$4850 min
6/16/2026, 11:20:04 AM2 trades$4550 min
6/16/2026, 12:17:58 PM14 trades$4231 min
4/22/2026, 3:07:54 AM4 trades$4210 min
4/21/2026, 3:32:48 AM8 trades$4101 min
6/15/2026, 12:30:07 AM4 trades$3990 min
4/23/2026, 4:02:08 AM8 trades$3852 min
7/8/2026, 4:10:55 PM3 trades$3790 min
3/6/2026, 10:14:33 PM1 trades$3500 min
7/2/2026, 10:23:50 PM5 trades$3451 min
3/20/2026, 6:33:01 PM2 trades$3442 min
4/23/2026, 3:03:12 AM4 trades$3111 min
2/17/2026, 11:46:27 PM1 trades$3000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-29
03-20
04-24
05-16
06-18
07-03
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 85 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.8 / M36.1 / H43.1