@robinosborn

#2,235,13519

0x1b19425132d778111a0c99a1cf611d4c220844e2

~25d· 34 markets · 62 tradesVol: $26,0272026-08-02 04:14:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (18/31)14/20
0.83x (win $32 / loss $38)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2550/15
Sortino -2.4950/10
$-0.0003 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4969 (31 markets)0/10
11/23 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 242600% of peak ($24 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,310,100$-12Vol: $14,687
💻 TECH#207,271$-3Vol: $5,830
SPORTS#1,180,470$-4Vol: $5,440
🎭 CULTURE#635,721$-5Vol: $29
CRYPTO#1,058,885$-6Vol: $26
💰 FINANCE#312,711$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-33
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,027
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
38B / 24S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-33
Vol: $26,027

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
18W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-33
Win Rate
58%
18W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22 (0.6675667566756676% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$17
Sharks vs. Canucks$3
Oilers vs. Flames: O/U 6.5$2
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-11?$2
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-16?$1
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?$1
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?$1
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)$1
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$1

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs$-5
Will CA Independiente vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?$-4
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86000 on Apr 18?$-4
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$-4
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?$-4
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-20?$-4
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$-3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$-3
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-2
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Apr 11?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.064
Sortino
-0.241
HHI
864
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.2%
Top-5 markets
38.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 174s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.68
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.4%
High (>55c)78.9%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 12:00:25 AM2 trades$2,9180 min
7/3/2026, 12:38:53 AM2 trades$2,9180 min
7/3/2026, 1:19:20 AM2 trades$2,9150 min
7/3/2026, 1:54:55 AM12 trades$2,9150 min
7/2/2026, 10:35:31 PM2 trades$2,8920 min
7/2/2026, 11:38:19 PM2 trades$2,8920 min
2/8/2026, 3:58:21 PM1 trades$2,3930 min
2/8/2026, 6:21:09 PM1 trades$2,3910 min
3/16/2026, 3:19:27 AM1 trades$1,5130 min
3/16/2026, 4:18:35 AM1 trades$1,5100 min
3/25/2026, 5:42:17 PM2 trades$91 min
12/31/2025, 3:24:01 PM2 trades$71 min
2/20/2026, 11:50:34 AM2 trades$72 min
4/9/2026, 11:43:15 AM4 trades$61 min
1/23/2026, 3:10:48 AM2 trades$53 min
3/25/2025, 11:16:22 AM1 trades$50 min
3/16/2026, 2:53:09 AM2 trades$51 min
12/27/2025, 1:09:57 PM2 trades$41 min
4/15/2025, 10:57:31 AM1 trades$40 min
5/8/2025, 4:21:47 AM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
04-16
10-21
12-31
01-30
02-20
04-09
05-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 421 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.68/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.6 / M18.4 / H78.9