@Outsmarter
#2,516950x1b6022ae41ad7a0b387a88c17885c754436ca55b
~92d· 137 markets · 3785 tradesVol: $736,7732026-08-02 06:25:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
74% (61/82)20/20
28.96x (win $97,379 / loss $3,363)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.79415/15
Sortino 254.21210/10
$+0.2014 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1574 (82 markets)4.6/10
39/55 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($936 / $94,016)10/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+74,041
DCA Master
Avg 28.7 entries/market
Whale
$466,866 invested
Consistent
39/55 profitable days
High Roller
$2,113/day
Cool Head
Max DD 1%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#665$74,841Vol: $625,991
💰 FINANCE#4,228$990Vol: $45,946
📈 ECONOMICS#678,568$-1,154Vol: $33,740
🎭 CULTURE#780,006$-100Vol: $17,243
💻 TECH#3,431$252Vol: $12,299
📢 MENTIONS#174,305$-797Vol: $2,631
Overview
#1Net PnL
$74,032
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$736,773
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
137
total markets
Trades
1628B / 2157S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~92d
Periods
#2Today
$61
Vol: $6
Week
$1,184
Vol: $6
Month
$406
Vol: $1,284
All Time
$74,032
Vol: $736,773
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
74%
61W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$74,041
Win Rate
74%
61W / 21L
Profit Factor
28.96x
Avg Win
$1,596
Avg Loss
$-198
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $65,090 (0.879117636174502% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$47,366
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9,939
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$7,786
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$6,335
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$5,892
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$4,618
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$1,921
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$1,405
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$1,337
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$1,221
Top Losers
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-418
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$-400
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-376
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$-363
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$-339
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-260
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-202
Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?$-200
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-179
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-146
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.249
Sortino
12.296
HHI
1016
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.255
Kelly %
45.3%
Half-Kelly
22.7%
Top-1 market
30%
Top-5 markets
47.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
17.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.1m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.6
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 184s — normal for humanCV 5.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active0.6 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
28.74
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)19.1%
Mid (20-55c)15.8%
High (>55c)65.1%
Sessions
#125/8/2026, 9:06:50 PM11 trades$108,0372 min
4/13/2026, 5:45:15 AM10 trades$40,2792 min
5/23/2026, 11:02:00 PM54 trades$35,3816 min
4/13/2026, 5:59:45 AM23 trades$24,2615 min
4/12/2026, 7:09:11 PM4 trades$20,0000 min
4/14/2026, 5:09:34 PM11 trades$18,8430 min
6/11/2026, 11:45:40 PM29 trades$12,5839 min
7/16/2026, 10:07:44 PM16 trades$12,3662 min
4/20/2026, 10:02:28 PM129 trades$12,10815 min
12/25/2025, 10:47:11 PM102 trades$10,30154 min
4/14/2026, 5:54:50 PM12 trades$9,9200 min
7/16/2026, 10:17:10 PM27 trades$9,8615 min
7/6/2026, 8:38:52 PM24 trades$7,98612 min
5/8/2026, 10:53:00 AM14 trades$7,6290 min
7/8/2026, 5:30:11 PM9 trades$6,5923 min
7/7/2026, 9:41:47 AM40 trades$6,44313 min
4/25/2026, 10:13:56 PM2 trades$6,4130 min
5/10/2026, 7:02:33 AM42 trades$6,34810 min
6/16/2026, 7:59:49 AM132 trades$5,88532 min
6/28/2026, 7:55:14 AM33 trades$5,27926 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-26
04-23
05-16
06-16
07-01
07-16
08-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.1 / M15.8 / H65.1