@Bogdanreay

#39,09468

0x1b6de094aa5371b056a911aa8c7c66fc612e2f1a

~40d· 304 markets · 2082 tradesVol: $1,006,2922026-08-02 08:03:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (118/304)4.4/20
1.41x (win $147,947 / loss $104,829)7.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.43415/15
Sortino 9.38110/10
$+0.2497 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 214 (304 markets)10/10
18/38 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($16,330 / $43,581)6.5/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+2,883
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Whale
$172,674 invested

Categories

6
SPORTS#6,444$7,909Vol: $484,406
📈 ECONOMICS#677,438$-885Vol: $380,190
CRYPTO#1,634,567$-1,568Vol: $50,621
🏛️ POLITICS#1,615,810$-1,055Vol: $33,005
🎭 CULTURE#777,718$-93Vol: $4,717
💰 FINANCE#456,651$-1Vol: $121

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,883
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,006,292
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
304
total markets
Trades
630B / 1452S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-949
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,883
Vol: $1,006,292

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
118W / 186L events
Realized PnL
$2,883
Win Rate
39%
118W / 186L
Profit Factor
1.41x
Avg Win
$1,254
Avg Loss
$-573

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $36,005 (12.488921108860339% of PnL)

Top Winners

France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5$18,477
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5$9,375
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5$8,153
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5$8,146
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5$7,854
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5$7,341
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5$6,811
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5$6,491
Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5$4,768
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$4,728

Top Losers

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-11,983
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$-5,002
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5$-4,924
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 2.5$-4,907
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-4,884
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$-4,200
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-3,998
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-3,889
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-3,767
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-2,999

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.177
Sortino
0.439
HHI
262
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.250
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
26.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.4m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 80s — normal for humanCV 2.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity10 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.85
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.5%
Mid (20-55c)55.9%
High (>55c)10.6%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 9:17:07 PM510 trades$33,3861 min
6/15/2026, 4:47:21 PM16 trades$19,4857 min
6/15/2026, 5:59:28 PM19 trades$13,6653 min
6/14/2026, 11:57:34 AM8 trades$13,4985 min
6/13/2026, 5:55:45 PM7 trades$12,9362 min
6/17/2026, 8:46:05 PM4 trades$12,8370 min
5/9/2026, 3:10:40 PM13 trades$10,1715 min
7/11/2026, 11:03:13 PM2 trades$9,8750 min
6/23/2026, 9:22:10 AM19 trades$9,6861 min
6/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM27 trades$8,7773 min
6/15/2026, 4:27:31 PM63 trades$8,0622 min
6/25/2026, 11:13:46 PM6 trades$7,9200 min
6/26/2026, 7:52:52 PM4 trades$7,7430 min
6/17/2026, 7:01:35 PM16 trades$7,7221 min
6/26/2026, 12:25:43 PM43 trades$7,6977 min
7/4/2026, 8:35:43 AM13 trades$6,9510 min
6/21/2026, 7:57:32 PM18 trades$6,7053 min
6/23/2026, 5:14:38 PM4 trades$6,5174 min
6/18/2026, 7:56:16 PM6 trades$6,4265 min
6/17/2026, 9:54:31 AM37 trades$6,2420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-19
03-24
06-13
06-19
06-26
07-05
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 82 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.85/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.5 / M55.9 / H10.6