@arragorn

#48,86572

0x1c14c755763ea1592380a9293fc34c435a2ca9c1

~14d· 279 markets · 537 tradesVol: $75,1722026-08-02 07:40:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

11% (30/279)0/20
2.06x (win $8,135 / loss $3,941)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.39615/15
Sortino 12.85210/10
$+0.1839 per $1 invested9.2/10
HHI 393 (279 markets)10/10
8/14 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($1,756 / $4,194)5.6/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+2,167
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

1
CRYPTO#134,493$44Vol: $40,097

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,167
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$75,172
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
279
total markets
Trades
408B / 129S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
11%
30W / 249L events
Realized PnL
$2,167
Win Rate
11%
30W / 249L
Profit Factor
2.06x
Avg Win
$271
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,238 (1.0327542851869795% of PnL)

Top Winners

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)$898
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$770
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$570
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$494
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$460
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$437
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$412
Games Total: O/U 2.5$392
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)$363
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)$328

Top Losers

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)$-1,200
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$-500
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)$-400
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-300
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-300
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner$-254
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winner$-192
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner$-177
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs$-148
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner$-96

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.323
Sortino
0.483
HHI
394
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.184
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.9%
Top-5 markets
34.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.3m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 571s — normal for humanCV 2.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal4.7 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.92
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79.2%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)14.7%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 6:35:52 PM4 trades$2,9084 min
6/19/2026, 8:37:41 PM7 trades$2,4072 min
6/18/2026, 7:08:47 PM6 trades$2,2361 min
6/21/2026, 6:09:35 PM2 trades$2,2270 min
6/19/2026, 11:11:31 PM4 trades$1,9725 min
6/14/2026, 9:09:37 PM6 trades$1,7930 min
6/19/2026, 9:52:38 PM23 trades$1,5543 min
6/13/2026, 10:59:33 PM2 trades$1,5420 min
6/20/2026, 4:56:11 PM2 trades$1,4610 min
6/15/2026, 8:11:10 PM4 trades$1,4050 min
6/18/2026, 1:09:05 PM7 trades$1,2722 min
6/13/2026, 5:26:37 PM4 trades$1,2534 min
6/20/2026, 8:59:56 PM3 trades$1,2420 min
6/15/2026, 2:07:39 PM2 trades$1,2180 min
6/18/2026, 8:13:22 PM2 trades$9210 min
6/13/2026, 12:24:24 PM4 trades$9092 min
6/14/2026, 5:26:07 PM4 trades$8971 min
6/18/2026, 1:16:32 PM2 trades$8450 min
6/14/2026, 2:03:37 PM4 trades$8371 min
6/13/2026, 8:04:40 PM2 trades$7720 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
04-27
06-11
06-13
06-15
06-18
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.92/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.2 / M6.1 / H14.7